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Québec solidaire

Latest update: August 12, 2026
LeaderRuba Ghazal
National popular vote in 202215.4%
Current vote projection10.2% ± 1.9%
Current number of MNA's11
Current seat projection7 [3-10]

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | August 12, 2026 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% Vote efficiency | QS 338Canada ©2023 1.5 seat/% [3-10] 10% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | August 12, 2026

6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 8.3% ▼ 10.2% ± 1.9% ▼ Max. 12.2% ▼ Probabilities % QS August 12, 2026

Seat projection | August 12, 2026

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 3 ▼ 7 ▼ Max. 10 ▼ 2022 11 seats Probabilities % QS August 12, 2026

The Road to 64 Seats | Québec solidaire


Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Gouin QS safe 1 GOUI 2. Mercier QS safe 2 MERC 3. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 3 SMSJ 4. Jean-Lesage QS leaning 4 JLES 5. Taschereau Toss up PQ/QS 5 TASH 6. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Toss up PQ/QS 6 HOMA 7. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 7 ROSE 8. Laurier-Dorion Toss up LIB/QS 8 LAUD 9. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Leaning LIB 9 SHSA 10. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/PQ 10 SHER 11. Maurice-Richard Leaning PQ 11 MAUR 12. Saint-François Toss up LIB/PQ 12 STFR 13. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ 13 ROUY 14. Verdun Safe LIB 14 VERD 15. Viau Safe LIB 15 VIAU 16. Richmond Leaning LIB 16 RCHM 17. Ungava Toss up LIB/PQ 17 UNGA 18. Rimouski Safe PQ 18 RIMO 19. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 19 MROU 20. Orford Safe LIB 20 ORFO 21. Granby Toss up PQ/CAQ 21 GRBY 22. Hull Safe LIB 22 HULL 23. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Likely PQ 23 RDLT 24. Iberville Toss up PQ/CAQ 24 IBER 25. Daniel-Johnson Toss up PQ/CAQ 25 DAJO 26. Chapleau Toss up LIB/CAQ 26 CHAP 27. Trois-Rivières Leaning CAQ 27 TRIV 28. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ 28 ABIO 29. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 29 PATR 30. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ 30 MVIC 31. Papineau Toss up LIB/CAQ 31 PAPI 32. Bellefeuille Likely PQ 32 BELF 33. Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB 33 BROM 34. Montarville Toss up PQ/CAQ 34 MTRV 35. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ 35 StHY 36. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ 36 StJR 37. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB 37 ANLR 38. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Toss up PQ/CAQ 38 MLGL 39. Borduas Leaning CAQ 39 BORD 40. Drummond–Bois-Francs Likely PQ 40 DRUM 41. Mégantic Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ/CPQ 41 MEGA 42. La Prairie Toss up PQ/CAQ 42 LAPR 43. Chambly Toss up PQ/CAQ 43 CHBY 44. Huntingdon Likely LIB 44 HUNT 45. Gatineau Likely LIB 45 GATI 46. Acadie Safe LIB 46 ACAD 47. Taillon Likely PQ 47 TAIL 48. L’Assomption Likely PQ 48 LASS 49. Abitibi-Est Leaning PQ 49 ABIE 50. Charlesbourg Toss up PQ/CPQ 50 CHAR 51. Berthier Safe PQ 51 BRTH 52. Verchères Likely PQ 52 VERC 53. Vachon Likely PQ 53 VACH 54. Prévost Safe PQ 54 PREV 55. Jean-Talon Toss up LIB/PQ 55 JTAL 56. Beauharnois Toss up PQ/CAQ 56 BEAU 57. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 57 CAML 58. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 58 LAPO 59. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ 59 CXCB 60. Maskinongé Likely PQ 60 MASK 61. Sanguinet Likely PQ 61 SANG 62. Champlain Toss up PQ/CAQ 62 CHPN 63. Jonquière Safe PQ 63 JONQ 64. Bertrand Safe PQ 64 BERT 65. Louis-Hébert Toss up PQ/CAQ 65 LHEB 66. Labelle Safe PQ 66 LABL 67. Côte-du-Sud Toss up PQ/CPQ 67 CÔDS 68. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 68 BOUS 69. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Leaning PQ 69 LVSM 70. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 70 NODG 71. Vanier-Les Rivières Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 71 VALR 72. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ leaning 72 CHCH 73. Saint-Jean Safe PQ 73 StJN 74. Joliette Safe PQ 74 JOLI 75. Chauveau PCQ likely 75 CHAU 76. Dubuc Safe PQ 76 DUBU 77. Groulx Leaning PQ 77 GROU 78. Montmorency PCQ likely 78 MOMO 79. Marquette Safe LIB 79 MARQ 80. Portneuf PCQ likely 80 PORT 81. Lévis Toss up CAQ/CPQ 81 LEVI 82. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ likely 82 LOTF 83. Rousseau Likely PQ 83 ROUS 84. Chicoutimi Safe PQ 84 CHIC 85. Blainville Leaning PQ 85 BLAI 86. Bonaventure Safe PQ 86 BONA 87. Repentigny Likely PQ 87 REPE 88. La Pinière Safe LIB 88 LAPI 89. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 89 JMVI 90. Nicolet-Bécancour Toss up PQ/CAQ 90 NICO 91. Gaspé Safe PQ 91 GASP 92. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB 92 LVDR 93. La Peltrie PCQ likely 93 LAPE 94. Châteauguay Safe LIB 94 CHAT 95. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 95 WSTL 96. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 96 StLR 97. René-Lévesque Safe PQ 97 RENE 98. Deux-Montagnes Likely PQ 98 DMON 99. Mirabel Leaning PQ 99 MIRA 100. Les Plaines Likely PQ 100 LPLA 101. Richelieu Safe PQ 101 RCHL 102. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 102 MARG 103. Mille-Îles Safe LIB 103 MILI 104. Pontiac Safe LIB 104 PONT 105. Masson Likely PQ 105 MASS 106. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe 106 BEAN 107. Roberval Safe PQ 107 ROBV 108. Duplessis Safe PQ 108 DUPL 109. LaFontaine Safe LIB 109 LAFO 110. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 110 IDLM 111. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe 111 BEAS 112. Terrebonne Likely PQ 112 TERR 113. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 113 LASJ 114. Sainte-Rose Safe LIB 114 StRO 115. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 115 MAMA 116. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 116 DAMC 117. Argenteuil Safe PQ 117 ARGE 118. Vimont-Auteuil Safe LIB 118 VIMO 119. Arthabaska-L’Érable Likely PQ 119 ARTH 120. Fabre Safe LIB 120 FABR 121. Soulanges Safe LIB 121 SOUL 122. Bellechasse PCQ safe 122 BELL 123. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 123 VAUD 124. Chomedey Safe LIB 124 CHOM 125. Nelligan Safe LIB 125 NELL 126. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 126 BALD 127. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 127 JACA 338Canada Quebec projection Updated August 12, 2026

Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Gouin
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
 QS QS safe
2.
Mercier
Ruba Ghazal
 QS QS safe
3.
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques
Manon Massé
 QS QS likely
4.
Jean-Lesage
Sol Zanetti
 QS QS leaning
5.
Taschereau
Étienne Grandmont
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
6.
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Alexandre Leduc
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
7.
Rosemont
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
 I Toss up PQ/QS
8.
Laurier-Dorion
Andrès Fontecilla
 QS Toss up LIB/QS
9.
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
 QS Leaning LIB
10.
Sherbrooke
Christine Labrie
 QS Toss up LIB/PQ
11.
Maurice-Richard
Haroun Bouazzi
 QS Leaning PQ
12.
Saint-François
Geneviève Hébert
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ
13.
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue
Daniel Bernard
 CA Likely PQ
14.
Verdun
Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
 QS Safe LIB
15.
Viau
Frantz Benjamin
 L Safe LIB
16.
Richmond
André Bachand
 CA Leaning LIB
17.
Ungava
Denis Lamothe
 CA Toss up LIB/PQ