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Island of Montreal

27 provincial districts
Latest update: August 12, 2026

Island of Montreal 42% 53% 47% ± 6% LIB 15% 22% 19% ± 4% PQ 13% 22% 17% ± 4% QS 7% 13% 10% ± 3% CPQ 5% 8% 7% ± 2% CAQ 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 12, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Island of Montreal, 27 electoral districts 19 [18-20] LIB 5 [3-6] QS 3 [3-5] PQ 338Canada seat projection | August 12, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Quebec Projection | Island of Montreal

Quebec Seat Projection | Island of Montreal



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List of districts | Island of Montreal
Latest update: August 12, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
André A. Morin
L Safe LIB
Karine Boivin Roy
CA Safe LIB
Madwa-Nika Cadet
L Safe LIB
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
PQ Safe PQ
Elisabeth Prass
L Safe LIB
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
QS QS safe
Alexandre Leduc
QS Toss up PQ/QS
Greg Kelley
L Safe LIB
Filomena Rotiroti
L Safe LIB
Marc Tanguay
L Safe LIB
Andrès Fontecilla
QS Toss up LIB/QS
Fred Beauchemin
L Safe LIB
Enrico Ciccone
L Safe LIB
Haroun Bouazzi
QS Leaning PQ
Ruba Ghazal
QS QS safe
Michelle Setlakwe
L Safe LIB
Monsef Derraji
L Safe LIB
Désirée McGraw
L Safe LIB
Chantal Rouleau
CA Safe PQ
Brigitte Garceau
L Safe LIB
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
I Toss up PQ/QS
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
QS Leaning LIB
Marwah Rizqy [Elected as LIB]
I Safe LIB
QS QS likely
Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
QS Safe LIB
Frantz Benjamin
L Safe LIB
Jennifer Maccarone
L Safe LIB