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Shipping predictions & odds

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Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

6%

$427K Vol.

$70.7K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

<1%

$52.4K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

97%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

33

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

1%

$5.2K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

What price will Ethena hit in May?

What price will Ethena hit in May?

19%

↓ 0.08

$2.3K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$145K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

10

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

37%

$149K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

291

Ends in 14 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$645K Vol.

$36.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

51

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

47%

↓ 38

$67.9K Vol.

$42.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

45%

20+

$468K Vol.

$51.1K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

1%

$138K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

6

Ends in about 1 month

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

29%

$6M Vol.

$285K today

$769K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

4%

$14M Vol.

$497K today

$581K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

5%

France

$986K Vol.

$50.4K today

$299K Liq.

13

Ends in 14 days

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

57%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

78%

$133K Vol.

$124K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 18?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$95

$2.1K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

48%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$342K today

$243K Liq.

473

Ends in about 1 month

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Shipping.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Shipping that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $47.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Shipping predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.