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World predictions & odds

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Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

8%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$1M today

$12.5K Liq.

117

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

83%

No meeting by June 30

$8M Vol.

$963K today

$280K Liq.

29

Ends in about 1 month

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

88%

December 31

$27M Vol.

$959K today

$361K Liq.

1,633

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

45%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$78M Vol.

$758K today

$7M Liq.

7,069

Ends in 5 months

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$72M Vol.

$547K today

$6M Liq.

507

Ends in 12 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

5%

$40M Vol.

$540K today

$753K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

1%

$698K Vol.

$479K today

$24.4K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

82%

Chong Won-oh

$40M Vol.

$439K today

$6M Liq.

184

Ends in 17 days

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$23M Vol.

$335K today

$980K Liq.

73

Ends in 8 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

31%

$29M Vol.

$225K today

$792K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

1%

$8M Vol.

$198K today

$148K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

65%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$8M Vol.

$194K today

$2M Liq.

107

Ends in 8 months

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

53%

Andy Burnham

$7M Vol.

$176K today

$1M Liq.

91

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

42%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$9M Vol.

$166K today

$935K Liq.

253

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

17%

$18M Vol.

$153K today

$672K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

63%

United Russia (ER)

$8M Vol.

$123K today

$486K Liq.

190

Ends in 4 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
World·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

10%

Donald Trump

$18M Vol.

$116K today

$2M Liq.

175

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

44%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$29M Vol.

$81.6K today

$2M Liq.

431

Ends in about 1 month

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

13%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$77.1K today

$329K Liq.

385

Ends in about 1 month

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

36%

8

$1M Vol.

$67.0K today

$122K Liq.

34

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like World.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for World that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel x Syria security agreement by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $447.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 45% chance to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on World predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.