Geopolitics

War, diplomacy and great-power competition


Top stories

A soldier of the United Kingdom's 2nd Battalion Royal Anglian infantry unit storms an enemy position in a simulated attack during the NATO "Brilliant Jump" military exercises.

Europe’s secret Plan B to replace NATO

What happens if America quits

A departure ceremony for President Donald Trump at Beijing Capital Airport after his two-day summit with President Xi Jinping of China, on Friday, May 15, 2026.

Is Donald Trump selling out Taiwan?

He suggests he is bargaining with China over weapons sales to the island


Flares burn off excess natural gas at the Endeavor Energy Resources LP oil and gas wells near Tarzan, Texas, USA.

How the world has avoided an oil catastrophe so far

The great commodity-market mystery is deepening


The Telegram

The EU and China are stumbling into a trade war

Swamped by Chinese exports, Europe nears a point of no return

Trade or Taiwan? Trump and Xi struggle to set the terms

At a summit in Beijing, business deals may mask divisions on Iran, Ukraine and AI

Arab rulers have little sympathy for Iran

Their people are not always so hostile




War in the Middle East

U.S. President Donald Trump arrives at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland, May 20th 2026

Donald Trump is still looking for a quick fix in Iran

But he has delayed another round of military strikes, at least for now

U.S. Air Force 380th Expeditionary Aerial Port Squadron personnel and 16th Expeditionary Airlift Squadron aircrew load a MIM-104 Patriot surface-to-air missile system onto a C-17 Globemaster III aircraft during a cargo mission.

Drained by war with Iran, America is stalling deliveries of arms to Europe

Many allies are starting to look for different suppliers



Diplomacy or more war? Iran’s leaders are split

Some are convinced that talking is futile



War in Ukraine

A drone unit operator of a motor rifle regiment of Russia's 49th Combined Arms Army with the Dnepr Group of Forces prepares a reconnaissance drone equipped with drop-off munition for flight in the zone of Russia's special military operation

How China quietly helps Russia in Ukraine

Its firms send drones, nitrocellulose for rockets and more

A lone soldier stands in front of apartment buildings damaged in Ukraine.

Russia is stumbling on the battlefield  

As casualties soar in Ukraine, Vladimir Putin looks ever more beleaguered at home


Victoria Bonya applies lipstick while on the red carpet.

The fashion influencer speaking truth to Putin

A viral Instagram video brings Russians’ wider grumbling into the open


Viktor Orban is bashing Ukraine for votes

Hungary’s election poisons relations between Hungary and its neighbour



The Telegram

A hand places a ballot into an Israeli voting box while fires burn in the background

The Telegram

Israel the lonely

The country is not as isolated as its critics hope, but it is alienating some true friends

Illustration of Donald Trump giving a thumbs up in a chariot pulled by two horses about to go off a cliff

The Telegram

America must hope Donald Trump is not a new Caligula

In the annals of rulers committing acts of folly, Roman decadence stands out


Illustration of stars with a bear paw.

The Telegram

To fight Russia, Europe needs Ukraine

It is risky to let Ukraine into the EU. It’s more dangerous to keep it out


The Telegram

A dangerous blind spot in Donald Trump’s Iran war strategy

America sets too little store by foreigners’ beliefs and values. It’s a costly mistake, each time


The Telegram

If it starts, a nuclear-arms race will be unstoppable

A sobering interview with the head of the International Atomic Energy Agency



Latest coverage

Red wall with colorful doors, windows, and Chinese lion-head door knockers

China

China’s diplomatic successes are broad but shallow

It asks little of its foreign “partners”, and gives little back

Asia

Why Japan and China will struggle to end their feud

Warming relations between America and China bode ill for Japan

Farmers wait in front of fuel stations for diesel in Munshiganj, Bangladesh, on April 20, 2026.

Asia

The Gulf war will change Asia for good

Energy-shocked countries are determined never to be hostage again

Nimrod Novik

By Invitation

How Israeli terror begets Palestinian terror

Settler violence in the West Bank undermines Israel’s security, its moral fabric and its global standing, argues Nimrod Novik

A photo collage featuring a map of Taiwan, Xi’s portrait, and images of fighter jets, illustrating the security tensions surrounding Taiwan.

Briefing

China is pushing Donald Trump for Taiwan concessions

Some in Taipei and Washington fear he may give ground

A man outside al-Hussein mosque in Cairo

Middle East & Africa

Arab rulers have little sympathy for Iran

Their people are not always so hostile

Illustration of Donald Trump giving a thumbs up in a chariot pulled by two horses about to go off a cliff

International

America must hope Donald Trump is not a new Caligula

In the annals of rulers committing acts of folly, Roman decadence stands out

OOCL PIRAEUS, one of the largest container vessels in the world, arriving at port

International

The global scramble for ports

The investment frenzy is driven by anxiety about China’s tightening grip on supply chains

The national flag of the United Arab Emirates flies outide the Hassyan power and water production complex

Leaders

The UAE doubles down on Israel and America

The consequences of the Emirates’ departure from OPEC

Illustration of stars with a bear paw.

International

To fight Russia, Europe needs Ukraine

It is risky to let Ukraine into the EU. It’s more dangerous to keep it out

A portrait of Yvette Cooper

By Invitation

How to think about foreign policy in the new geoeconomic era

Middle powers need to tread skilfully around the biggest blocs, writes Yvette Cooper

Syrian President Ahmad Al-Sharaa shakes hands with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Damascus, Syria.

Europe

Ukraine’s quest for new friends takes it to Turkey and Syria

American unreliability is creating conditions for new alliances of convenience