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With a last-minute booking, I attended the public lecture "Monsters in the math: Black holes at the end of physics" by Dr Matt O'Dowd on Friday night with Nitul and Jacinta. Dr O'Dowd is an astrophysicist at City University of New York, and most famous as the writer and director of the YouTube Channel PBS Space-Time. With some 500 people in attendance, it was a fairly high-level and historical presentation, covering many of the great contributors to the subject, including Newton, the under-rated Mitchell (who coined "Dark Star"), Cavendish, Eddington, Chandraseker, and concluding with Hawking radiation which, if true, means that everything is lost, which is an ultimate end of the universe.

The topic rather reminded me of another physicist whose presentation I attended over a decade ago, which included contributions to the return of a static universe. Expressed simply, the idea is that gravity will pull nearby galaxies closer together, whereas those that have sufficient distance and velocity will increasingly get further away, resulting in a universe of tightly packed galaxies (a very bright night sky), but with enormous distances between these clusters. An issue I have with this is that almost every large and mature galaxy hosts a supermassive black hole at their centre, and they tend to be proportionate to the size of the galaxy. Combined with Hawking Radiation, one is drawn to the uncomfortable conclusion that ultimately everything reaches a complete thermal death where all matter eventually dissolves into a featureless sea of radiation.

Seriously, it's a very long time in the future (a mere 10^78 years according to recent calculations), and there are smarter minds than mine working on this problem, and many physicists think that quantum information will be retained. whether through the holographic principle, subtle quantum entanglements, or highly condensed quantum gravity cores. I readily admit I have not explored the issue in sufficient depth to form an opinion on the matter, but I do know, like with all scientific matters, the degree that we have advanced the modern age is nothing short of extraordinary, and what worries me more is that our moral reasoning instead moves in ebbs and flows over a more fixed range. If this is the case, then ultimately, as a species, there is a great possibility that we'll take ourselves out through our own technological progress. Happy Monday.
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For many months, Australia has witnessed the rise of the far-right One Nation party, led by their veteran Senator, Pauline Hanson, supported with populist politics, with some very wealthy backers. Most of their rise has been at the expense of the mainstream right-wing Liberal Party, making the entire experience not unlike what has happened to the US Republicans' transformation under Trump or the UK Conservatives' loss to Reform; so far, the German Christian Democrats have somewhat resisted the Alternative for Germany. However, recently their leader had to front the National Press Club and, having opened her mouth, there has been a sudden shift in public sentiment toward the party, with a succession of opinion polls (RedBridge, Newspoll, Morgan, Essential) showing a sudden decline for the party. Essential is particularly interesting as it showed some detail that even among supporters of One Nation, they don't necessarily agree with ON's policies, which implies support for the party is based on the desire for disruption, feeling neglected by the political system, and being part of a political tribe.

These are all characteristics which, I have mentioned previously and discussed at the Isocracy presentation, correlate with the "social pathologies" that were raised by Habermas when a political system, highly expert in the efficiency and effectiveness of governance, has lost popular and democratic input for the formation of normative directives from the cultural lifeworld. Reviving this sense of an integrated society is achieved not just through social welfare measures, but also through an active civil society and a public sphere, where people can associate with political and economic leaders as equals, and where all members of society are invited and able to participate according to their interests. Clubs, religious groups, and political groupings whose foundations rest on exclusivity rather than inclusiveness are signs of divisive populism in these circumstances.

As an example of an open, but special interest group, last weekend I was invited, in my role in Australia-China Friendship Society, to attend a dinner hosted by the Fujian Association of Victoria which had more than 200 people in attendance including a number of political and diplomatic figures who readily mixed with regular members; I was seated between former MP Hong Lim and the Mayor Dandenong, Sophie Tan and, unsurprisingly, I spent most of the evening in conversation with said people. Quite a few of the speakers spoke, indirectly, about Senator Hanson's suggestion that the country become a "monoculture", including my own (published in the ACFS Newsletter). It is rather poor form to condemn a people because of race, origin, religion etc, rather than the content of their character. It is damaging to our sense of community, damaging to international political and trade relations, and ultimately damaging to ourselves, as our inner nature will correlate with our outer nature.
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Last Sunday, I gave my long-awaited presentation on the political philosophy of Jurgen Habermas (transcript available, YouTube video available), the most important social theorist and philosopher of late twentieth-century Germany. Appropriately, I made a batch of German food for attendees: Kartoffelpuffer, Eier in Senfsoße, and Roggenbrot.

I didn't touch deeply on his philosophy of communicative action or universal pragmatics, which I covered quite extensively in my presentation to the Existentialist Society on May 2nd (transcript available). Instead, this presentation covered his earliest works on the Enlightenment public sphere, as well his comments on the "new public sphere" of the Internet, his concept of societies consisting of a combination of functional systems and cultural lifeworlds, his elaboration on theories of law and theories of justice, his interest in Europe and the European Union, and especially transnational bodies and a non-nationalist patriotism based on human rights. I had some critical words to say about his relative absence of environmental concerns, of imperialism, and most importantly, of political economy, classist and patriarchal issues. Still, after six decades of political theory, his truly vast knowledge is undeniable, as even his harshest critics readily admit.

As someone who has been a Habermas-spotter for decades now, I have a dozen or so of his books plus some of the best critiques, countless journal articles and a hefty notepad of one-hundred pages of hand-written material on the two-volume "The Theory of Communicative Action" that I scribbled thirty years ago; I have a red pen at the end noting that I finished the reading after six months or so on 2.15 am on Friday 24th June 1994! Overall, I think I have some 40,000 words that I have written on Habermas immediately on hand - including about 10,000 words written this year. Which makes me think that I should write a short book on his philosophy and politics. It is certainly true that I have a full year already planned ahead of me, and then some, but one cannot plan for when their favourite philosopher's life reaches its historically inevitable conclusion. Apparently, the time is right, and the circumstances demand it.

"What raises out of nature is the only thing whose nature we can know: language. Through its structure, autonomy and responsibility are posited for us. Our first sentence expresses unequivocally the intention of universal and unconstrained consenses"
-- Jurgen Habermas, inaugural lecture, Goethe University Frankfurt, June 1965.
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This Sunday I'll be presenting at the Isocracy Network on the political theory of the recently deceased Jurgen Habermas. Habermas was Europe's leading social philosopher for most of the latter 20th century and into the 21st, writing mainly on the importance of communication, rationality, and social justice. About a month ago, I spoke at the Existentialist Society on his philosophy ("The United Colours of Jürgen Habermas: A Life's Work"), with a video now on YouTube and a transcript also available. This presentation will concentrate on his political and sociological contributions, namely the idea of the public sphere, the idea of a society being a system and a lifeworld, his concerns with Europe, democracy, and justice, and his notion of a "post-secular" society. There will also be a critique strongly oriented toward environmental and political economy concerns.

As a more local issue, many Australian people are commenting on the sudden rise of One Nation's in opinion polls, and especially following leader Pauline Hanson's address to the National Press Club. Whilst Hanson is already notorious for her anti-migrant, anti-multicultural, and anti-aboriginal views, the address has also brought to attention how anti-worker One Nation is as well, which of course fits PHON's voting record (when they actually bother to turn up). Increasingly, people are also beginning to understand that PHON is opposed to women's reproductive rights, that they want to increase the voting age and introduce conscription, anti-renewables, and a range of other measures that are pretty unpalatable to the vast majority of Australians.

What is interesting, however, is that PHON, well funded through Gina Rheinhart and with a core of extreme right supporters, has attracted a very substantial protest vote, people who feel that they've been neglected by the political system and have no avenue to participate. Interestingly, Habermas made some significant predictions in this regard; he was very critical of functional neoliberalism from the 1970s onwards and the damage it would cause to social integration, and likewise he offered a tough critique of technocratic tendencies within social democratic parties - like the Labor Party here in Australia. No matter how well they might govern or what economic benefits they bring, Habermas consistently argued that there is a need for both participatory and deliberative avenues in democracy to ensure the inclusion of all voices. Whilst I have plenty to write about PHON (and will), it is important to recognise there is a Habermasian explanation for Hansonism. That will also be part of my presentation on Sunday.
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"Pacific Island Countries are microcontributors of greenhouse gases yet they are likely to be affected most. Some large nations have blatantly shown their lack of concern on these issues and they seem to believe that their economy and well-being are much more important than the survival of the people from PICs. This sounds inhumane to us. How can we make our voice heard? Are we over-reacting? One thing is for sure: we are vulnerable."
-- Janita Pahalad, Fiji Meteorological Service (Gillispie & Burns, 2000, p223)

For a few years I've more than a usual interest in the climate affairs of the Pacific (including a master's dissertation from the University of Wellington), with the recent completion of a major research paper on energy production which, as the wheel turns very slowly, will hopefully be published soon in the Intergovernmental Research and Policy Journal. In the meantime, however, I have also been nose to the grindstone and have just completed another paper for the same journal, this time on the current and future modelling of sea level change in the Pacific. There are three major improvements in this area: firstly, the adoption of satellite altimetry rather than tidal gauges; secondly, the continued abandonment of the "bathtub" models; and thirdly, the very significant improvements in sheer computational power, especially with general-purpose GPU programming.

Satellites provide a much broader scope for measuring sea level rise, capable of tracking the entire planet rather than just where tidal gauges are located. Further, altimetry actually measures variations in sea-level height, whereas gauges can be subject to subsidence. As for the "bathtub" models, they were fine for predicting sea-level rise due to thermal expansion, but not so good at predicting the effects of storm and wave surges and erosion. Newer, dynamic models are doing a better job at this. Finally, with this additional quantity of data and the complexity of interactions, we are very fortunate to have improvements in computing power through GPGPU programming, which enables massive parallel computation.

Anyway, doing such research has taken up a sizeable portion of my non-working life for the past few weeks, so it's good have some light the end of this project, before I move on to the next topic, which will either be a study in mitigation and adaptation in developing countries or environmental economics, both areas that I know quite well - all depends what my supervisor thinks is best. On a more practical and immediate note, however, it looks like I'll be taking another (short, small) international trip in a couple of weeks to really knuckle down on a major, relevant project for Pacific Island Nations that covers both energy generation and sea-level rise. Who knew that after years of formal study and research, one might be able to make a significant and serious contribution to a chosen subject.
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"Rodents" are the featured article on Wikipedia today, so it's appropriate that my "animaux de compagnie", Mayday and Mayhem are mentioned. Last week, I took them to a specialist vet to get a general check-up and some medications for mycoplasma infection, which, unfortunately, is pervasive among the species. Mayday had incessant sneezing, and Mayhem was snortling, so the visit was rather overdue, but apart from that, they are in very good condition. Mixing crushed doxycycline with rice cream is a certain method to get rats to eat their medicine, and now, a few days later, they are pretty much cured. Despite their age (almost two, which is 60 in rat-years), these brothers are very active, chasing each other about, tails held high (a sure sign of a healthy rat), climbing where they shouldn't climb, and generally being highly intelligent and playful balls of chaos. I attribute their excellent health in part due to their very extended free-range time and their healthy diet of steamed vegetables, a little protein powder, leafy greens, brown rice and oats. I'm not sure how they managed to convince me that their free-range time now consists from when I get up, that they are fed on a mat by the study door, and they can sleep in a kitten bed underneath my bed during the day, being returned to their oversized cage only when I turn in. Rat cunning, that's what they have.

The other member of the household, who is not of order Rodentia, i.e., myself, is apparently also in good health, perhaps due to similarities to my companions in diet and exercise. On my doctor's inquisitiveness, I've undertaken a range of blood tests, which all came back in good order and, after putting on a few kilos from the extraordinary culinary adventures in South America, on the cruise, and then Sichuan province, I am finally shedding my way back towards last year's levels; my body is curiously elastic. For those who are able (and I recognise my good fortune in this regard), a good diet, plenty of exercise, and good sleep, applied with time and consistency, make a world of difference. Still, one doesn't get all the benefits; I recently recall being in good spirits after a great punk gig, finding a smoochy cat on the way home, all purrs and head-butts, and then taking a few steps forward muttering under my breath, "I wish I didn't exist". Ahh, my brain, with its quadruple dose of depression, you take me such places. I even let the mask slip at work at a staff meeting, when I cheerily suggested to all that if we didn't exist, we wouldn't have any problems. That would solve everything for all time! Thank goodness I have my Haustiere to retain a semblance of sanity.
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As a consistent, long-standing, albeit irregular contributor to Rocknerd, it is to my shame that I have not contributed anything since February (March Violets, Crocodile Promises). The stack of things that I should review has grown, and, having decided to take a day of rest from work, study, and politics, I turned my attention to art and worked my way through four reviews with an electronica focus:

* Rüfüs Du Sol, Inhale / Exhale (2025). Australia's most successful contemporary electronica-dance band for 15 years, this late review of their latest album notes mostly consistent positive tempo, coupled with a tale from euphoria to loss.
* Basement Jaxx, Sidney Myer Music Bowl. A live review of one of the biggest names in UK garage electronica, known for maximalist performances with high-tempo anthems. Great sounds, albeit with hefty ticket prices and sometimes questionable sound quality.
* Leftfield, Botanical Gardens. Previously reviewed on Rocknerd 15 years ago, Leftfield are an example of beauty in music: "Leftfield are the music of passionate defiance from people who have nothing but each other". Very loud and very clear, the concert would have been improved with length.
* Cut Copy, Botanical Gardens. Unpretentious, often understated, Melbourne's Cut Copy provided a good selection of the past and their most recent album, "Moments". Rather than dancefloor bangers, they provide a continuous joyful vibe.

Now for a brain-dump of some hypotheses on the music of physics, as speculated by a non-physicist. Following Louis de Broglie's hypothesis and Quantum Field Theory, it is fair to say that everything is a wave. From de Broglie was the hypothesis that what we think of as matter has wave-like properties, which has been confirmed through electron diffraction experiments (apropos, waves also exhibit particle-like behaviour). This is accepted as mainstream quantum mechanics; particles are described by a wavefunction, ψ. In Quantum Field Theory (QFT), the fundamental entities of the universe are quantum fields (e.g., electron fields, quark fields, photon fields, etc), and particles themselves are excitations in those fields. Unlike an "everyday wave", like a wave on the ocean, there is no external cause for this it's the fundamental force and motion from the universe.

When a quantum state occurs periodically in time, it can be associated with a frequency. A frequency measured over equal intervals is essentially an oscillation, or, in musical terms, a beat. For a state with definite energy E, the wavefunction evolves as: f=E​/H, the Planck-Einstein relation, where a particle of energy E has an associated oscillation frequency, f. Now, when there is a single eigenstate, a quantum oscillation is more like a single tone. However, the universe has multiple quantum states superimposed with interference, and from that beat frequencies appear. If everything is ultimately oscillating quantum fields, then the universe is an ensemble of coupled rhythms. How far I can push these hypotheses will be explored on another day; however, I am tempted to also map this to the insights between the relationship between music and psychology and the philosophical concept of harmony. But all that's for another day; two paragraphs on quantum mechanics and music is enough for today.
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I am genuinely touched by the outpouring of sympathy and kindness, publically and privately, received following my post on Kayo's passing and my desire to give respect and honour in her memory. I want to emphasise that I'm doing quite fine, despite the initial shock, and not because I have put up walls around this. To further the metaphor, we often used to talk about "the wall of awful" that people with ADHD experience, as skillfully explained by Jessica McCabe), which could be relevant in this context. Rather, there are two old lessons from the ancient Hellenes that particularly relevant; (i) the blunt opening in "The Enchiridion" by Epictetus ("There are things which are within our power, and there are things which are beyond our power"), and the (ii) a primary life-interest in the Socratic triad of Truth, Justice, and Beauty, not just as ideals, but as a pragmatic interest in how to understand and improve the world. Combined (as Borges wrote in "La escritura del dios"), these two approaches prevent much of the despair caused by calamities or the temptations of hedonistic indulgence, as they give us a glimpse of the workings of the universe.

On the topic of more pragmatic walls, the 2026 Commonwealth Budget has included several significant housing reforms. This is an issue that I have written about many times before, including the Capital Gains Discount and Negative Gearing. When a magazine like "The Economist" calls Australia's policies "crazy", you know there's a problem. House prices have become increasingly unaffordable, especially for young people, and we've subsidised accumulation rather than producing new housing. The budget has reformed both problems; negative gearing now only applies to new buildings, and the capital gains discount is being replaced by cost-based indexation. The effect will be that housing price growth will be closer to the inflation rate, there will be an improvement in new supply, and investors will have to put their money into something actually productive. Naturally enough, the conservative media is fuming because that's what their paymasters have told them to say. But the reality is that this is the most important and necessary change to housing policy in over twenty-five years. To be blunt, it means that young people will have a chance to own a home.

Finally, I wish to talk of fictional walls, or rather the Marlen Haushofer novel "The Wall" (1960). The book was relatively unknown until it was popularised by the German feminist, nuclear disarmament, and environmental movements in the 1980s and wasn't published in English until 1990. It tells the story of a middle-aged woman on holiday in the Austrian countryside who suddenly discovers she is cut off from the outside world by an invisible wall, where all life has ceased. She lives with a stray cat, her dog, and a cow, and with these companions she writes a report of her experience as she tries to recall how to live a subsistence existence. An extraordinary piece of premise fiction, it explores how the protagonist deals with what could be devastating loneliness and fear (and these themes are present) with practical attention to life's details and empathy toward her non-human companions. I have nothing but great thanks to a quasi-anonymous hikikomori Reddit friend who recommended it to me in passing. Even the plot background made me think about the potential to explore the themes in a contemporary urban setting. How would you respond to discovering the rest of the world had ceased to exist, trapped in an area of a few hundred metres with no other living people?
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A couple of days ago, I was informed that my former partner, Kayo, had died in her sleep the previous evening. We had been friends, albeit mainly at a distance, for many years. The random moments we had spent together were frozen in time, capturing lightning, light, and colour. In the midst of COVID, I managed to rescue her from being trapped in Thailand as international flights were being cancelled, and got her on the second-last seat of the last plane leaving the country. Months later, we formed a relationship, a partnership, became engaged, purchased a home, and made plans for a future life together. Alas, it didn't work out as expected. Kayo was a person who could show an incredibly deep love, express delightful kindness to others (even and especially to random strangers), and really had a beautiful heart. But, it must be said, she was also a person with emotional and affective instability; in the four years of our partnership, she broke up with me five times (I literally lost teeth over this), and when it became clear that I wasn't going to take her back for a sixth attempt, we parted company and not entirely on the best of terms.

One cannot blame her for this; Kayo's brain was wired very differently as a result of trauma-induced CPTSD, and any recovery from such a condition is difficult, given the profound neurological changes to the amygdala. For my part, I believe I consistently went well beyond reasonable expectations to be helpful, generous, understanding, and to provide a point of stability in her life. Certainly, I educated myself a great deal on mental health issues and, following the completion of a psychology degree, was invited to do postgraduate research by Auckland University. Kayo would tell me that, despite my own fairly rough upbringing, my grounding was "inspirational", and that I was "compassionate", "dedicated", a whole range of other positive descriptors of a different nature; the most important being that she felt safe, secure, and that all her many fears about the world would melt away in my company. I don't think anyone has provided me with such positive and passionate affirmations as she did, and she was one of the few people who could shake me out of a persistent depressive disorder manifested in my own life as driven dysthymia, and that alone speaks volumes about the sort of person she was. It was appropriate that her consistent, decades-long nom de net was a science fiction character who saves the planet through light and love.

There are many wonderful memories of my time with Kayo. We had a couple of delightful nature-immersed regional holidays, innumerable picnics in the best of the local parklands, we would sing whilst preparing food together in the kitchen, dance with our respective cats (who must have thought we were quite mad), we engaged in detailed speculations both practical and ridiculous (such as how we would steal the Star Sapphire of India), and we would study together providing motivation and ideas; her assistance in my MHEd thesis at the University of Otago was especially notable and is recorded for all history. But all of these sweet memories are in the past tense and can never be repeated or elaborated on. I really feel for her family at the moment, especially her parents and her brother, who absolutely adored her. For my own part, I must thank those who have expressed sympathy and care to me, all knowing that Kayo was such a big part of my life. Valedictions, Kayo, there is some small solace for all of us knowing that you are at peace: "Dieu réunit ceux qui s'aiment".
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On Wednesday evening, I caught up with Derek M (and finished their book the night before), and we ventured to see Jimmy Wales in conversation with Sally Warhaft at the Capitol Theatre. As the co-founder of Wikipedia, Jimmy described the community (first priority), history, the challenges, and future of Wikipedia in a very charming and perhaps overly optimistic style. Afterwards, I picked up a copy of his new book, "The Seven Rules of Trust", which I will review at a later date. At this stage, I will note that he uses a model based on "Authenticity", "Logic", and "Empathy", which seems valuable, and which ultimately reflects "Reliability". I foresee a more complex relationship between the dimensions as well; for example, suggestions from a source that is high in authenticity and logic would be good for factual advice, but you wouldn't use them for relationships. Likewise, high empathy but low logic would be someone you could reveal yourself to, but you might not want to take their advice!

Last night, I was a guest at a dinner at the Pullman to celebrate the tenth anniversary of the sister-state province relationship between Sichuan and Victoria. It was one of those high-level Chinese functions that included numerous politicians, diplomats, and business representatives, along with about 400 people in attendance, and an artistic parade of opera performers, pipa players, singers, and folk dancers. Being a Sichuan event, the cuisine was of superb quality, as was the baijiu. The event contrasted with the Sister Paul gig I went to earlier, an androgynous Japanese punk duo who played harmonic surf-punk and Ramones covers at breakneck speed, but somehow I manage to live comfortably with such juxtapositions. I'll be seeing them again on Monday.

A few other events I must mention: Fiona's birthday gathering at Mr Wilkinson on Saturday was superb, with wonderful company; I spent most of my time with the host, Meredith, Luna, and Clive. It was just the sort of company I wanted to be in after attending the Isla Bell rally earlier in the day, with its deeply emotional plea for justice. The night previous I had been at the Odean in Richmond to an Spandau Ballet and Ultravox "Vienna" tribute night with the album performed with Steven Wilson's mixes and magnificent surround-sound; it was also an opportunity to catchup with old Willsmere friend, Adam D. Dating further back, which I haven't previously mentioned, Nitul and I went to see the play at St Martin's "Curse of the House of Atreus". With a minimal set, the young actors really added a flourish to this, the most tragic of all Hellenic myths.
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Early last year, I became aware of the death of a young artist and environmentalist, Isla Bell. The circumstances were pretty awful, and it quickly became obvious that I had a few friends close to family who, with what I consider to be a passionate and inspiring response, had established a charity to support young women artists. I made contact with the family to seek permission to engage in a fundraising campaign through the sale of some tabletop RPGs, as I have done in the past (Medicines sans Frontiers, UNHCR, Effective Altruism) and, over a couple of months and helped by the Conquest games convention and co-contributors (especially Simon Stroud), over $15000 was raised.

However, two days ago, Isla's accused killer, Marat Ganiev, had the manslaughter (originally murder) charges dropped by the public prosecutor , as were charges against his alleged co-offender Eyal Yaffe. Using the grim calculus, I understand the OPP's reasoning; there was no reasonable chance of conviction, because it was not possible to determine the cause of death, "beyond a reasonable doubt", even though everyone is quite aware of what happened.

This Saturday, friends and family have organised an "Isla Bell Justice Rally" in front of the State Library. Isla is remembered, and one day there will be justice for her and others.
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In the middle of last week, I went out with my old friend Des to see Dr Strangelove at RMIT's Capitol Theatre. It was inevitably going to be a good night because Des is one of my best friends, Dr Stangelove is one of my favourite films, and the Capitol is one of my favourite theatres. The movie was introducted by a film studies academic who gave a delightfully funny exposition on the broken masculinist themes throughout the gallows-humour farce, and a few pieces of movie trivia I that I had forgotten, such as the fact that the war room table was in green casino felt to emphasise the idea of those assembled were gambling the fate of the planet, even though the film was in black-and-white. As a superb work of satire, and as it should be (albeit terrifyingly so), almost everything about Dr Strangelove was actually based on reality.

One character in the film that particularly stands out is General Jack D. Ripper and his obsessive paranoid delusions of how there was an "international Communist conspiracy to sap and impurify all of our precious bodily fluids" through fluoridation. Ripper, in a position of great power, cunning, and madness, is the driving plot device of the film. It has been several years since I've seen the film, and one thing that struck me is how similar his reasoning is to that of others, more contemporary conspiracy theorists, especially those of the anti-vaccination or AGW denial bodies of opinion. The selective use of facts, the invention of alternative facts, the suppression or deflection of inconvenient facts, and, of course, the suggestion that somehow nefarious communists are responsible, whether it's fluoridation, vaccines, COVID, or their remarkable control of all the world's meteorological stations over the past one hundred and fifty years. Fun fact, ironically, when it was released, Dr Strangelove, some argued that it was a Soviet propaganda plot.

In recent years, there has been some good research into the nature of conspiracy theories. One study indicates that "even if it's bonkers" a substantial section of the population will believe a conspiracy (an important metric for those who benefit). Conspiracy theorists tend to be angry individuals, and believe the perceived conspirators are "evil". And one particularly good study identified that "regression model indicated odd beliefs/magical thinking, trait Machiavellianism, and primary psychopathy were significant, positive predictors of belief in conspiracy theories.. the individual more likely to believe in conspiracy theories may have unusual patterns of thinking and cognitions, be strategic and manipulative, and display interpersonal and affective deficits". I especially like how this one used regression analysis to determine the accuracy of those traits (e.g., corroborating previous research on Machiavellianism) and to remove spurious correlations identified in previous research (e.g., trait narcissism). Recently, we have also discovered that conspiracy theorists are unable to handle complexity; they see the world as fundamentally unfair and want simple, unambiguous explanations.
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"Jurgen Habermas is the most influential thinker in Germany today". Thus begins Thomas McCarthy's 1975 translator's introduction to "Legitimation Crisis" ("Legitimationsprobleme in Spatkapitalismus", 1973), and he wasn't wrong. Whilst he may have fallen a little off the radar a bit in the last decades (especially after his attempted "post-secular" rapproachment with religion), fifty years as Europe's most important and serious philosopher is a fairly good innings. Habermas dies last month, aged 96, and I was fortunate enough to be offered to give a presentation to the Existentialist Society this weekend on his philosophy of universal pragmatics and communicative action, which was both well-attended and had many excellent questions. The video, alas, missed the first couple of minutes, but everything is available in the transcript.

The weekend was not only an afternoon of deep and complex emancipatory German social philosophy in the idealistic tradition, however. Marc C., joined me for dinner on Friday before we ventured to The Old Bar to see some music; opening act "Trappist Afterland" was a subtle one-man band with Indian sub-continent backing tracks and songs about dogs, Star/Time provided quasi-improvised space-funk, and headline act The Gruntled accurately describe themselves as "avant-medieval psychedelic noise combo"; it all helps when you know several of the band members. The following night, I caught up with Liza D., and we made our way to "Impossiblistic: A Night of Surreal Performances, which was poetry, theatre, music, costume, puppetry, clown shows, and more. It was less surreal than enjoyable nonsense and was just fine.

Between all this, I also managed to visit the "Creative Antarctica" exhibition at RMIT on its last day, on Australian artists and writers who visited that grand continent. Of course, my own emotional and intellectual attachment to said continent is very strong; not too many people can say that they've spent New Year's Eve there. The exhibition was quite delightful. I really like Janet Laurence's "Ice Remembers" and Sally Robertson's "Atlas Cove". But the standout image for me was Frank Hurley's photograph of 1916 of Shackleton and Worsley leaving Elephant Island on a tiny lifeboat that would somehow make it to South Georgia Island over a thousand kilometres away and would lead to the rescue of the crew of the Endurance. It is one the greatest stories of survival against all odds and, for what it's worth, Elephant Island was the last location of my own trip to Antarctica this year. As Sir Raymond Priestley, Antarctic explorer and geologist, poetically put it: "For scientific discovery give me Scott; for speed and efficiency of travel give me Amundsen; but when disaster strikes and all hope is gone, get down on your knees and pray for Shackleton."
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This Saturday at 2 pm I'm giving a presentation entitled "The United Colours of Jürgen Habermas: A Life's Work" (link in comments), who recently died. Habermas was, from the 1960s onwards, he was Europes's most influential social theorist and philosopher whose works combined linguistics, communication, rationality, and pragmatism. I readily admit that I have been a follower of his work for around 35 years and have been impressed by his commitment to an emancipatory modernism. I have also agreed with his criticisms of positivism, hermeneutics, systems-functionalism, and post-structuralism (c.f., my recent talk on French philosophy). Anyway, for those who enjoy listening to me go on a passionate philosophical-political rant for an hour, or who have never had the opportunity, please do come along; I promise it will be at least entertaining and sincere.

In my other, more formal scholarly activities, I've smashed through the University of Chicago's course on science and climate modelling, completing the material in about half the expected time. Mind you, it does help if one is pretty familiar with the content, though one should recognise that some of it could be updated. I will also say that the user interface of the professor's models could be improved. With these caveats, however, the content is quite excellent and what one would hope for from someone who has been a professor of geophysical sciences for almost 35 years. I admit I am intrigued by the follow-up make-your-own modelling course.

On a somewhat related manner, I have also organised multiple researcher talks at work involving a variety of researchers who have used our supercomputer and have some publications as a result; one has the charming title of "CRITTERS: Climate, Resource, and Image Tracking in Tiny, Ecologically Representative Systems". The second, "Threshold-Calibrated Word Sense Disambiguation: Semantic Broadening Without Sense Redistribution in Schizophrenia", and the third "Skuas as sentinels of high pathogenicity avian influenza H5N1 on the Antarctic Peninsula in the 2024/2025 austral summer" (my own recent trip to Antarctica in the same area witnessed more than a few of these well-travelled birds). All quite different but equally important subjects that, in their own way, needed the processing power we could offer to model and verify theories and to seek matches with empirical data; this is how real science progresses.
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As predicted, this entire week I've been buried in work and study, a stark contrast to the week prior, when I engaged in a myriad of artistic engagements. As part of my doctoral studies, I've powered my way through the University of Chicago's content on climate modelling. The professor, David Archer, understands the physics, the modelling, and even the trickier issues involved in translating one to the other, especially given the handful of uncertainties and modelling challenges at scales. His book, "Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast" is a worthwhile introduction to the subject. I have not yet decided what my major paper will be for this study; although I must mention that my paper "Energy Production Under The Paris Agreement: Options for Developing Pacific Island Countries" from the course "Global Energy and Climate Policy" has been accepted for The Intergovernmental Research and Policy Journal; I just have to clear up some formatting issues (one day, we'll all use Markdown).

One fortunate side of my work in supercomputing is the access to some particularly big iron, which might be useful in these situations. The University's own system, Spartan, has grown from being an innovative experimental system on a shoestring budget to become one of the world's top supercomputers. But another part of my role is working with the West Australian Pawsey Supercomputing Centre, home of Setonix, Australia's most powerful system (named after the quokka, you know). This week, we had a visitor from WA, from Pawsey, to discuss the system, and I was involved in wrangling a lecture theatre full of Spartan researchers to come along and hear about how to get access to this grander system. It was a bit of a highlight for the week, as I'm also organising a major project which includes a couple of major transitions which I strongly disagree with on a technical level, which I know will come back and bite us in the future. But I have long been an advocate of not letting work decisions upset me, and I am all too familiar with people acting as if technical limits are negotiable.

I rather suspect that next week is going to be a bit like the past week; the combination of full-time work and full-time study often means there are periods when my social life suffers quite a lot, and this is one of those times when the pointy end of multiple deadlines is looming. It is times like these that I feel a great deal of gratitude for the especially calm and studious Rookery I've built for myself, and for finding myself in a profession where extended periods of solitude are highly beneficial for output. I guess in the past people found themselves in a secluded hermitage; instead, I find myself in the midst of a vibrant city with the plentiful beauty of art and nature, and it takes some willpower to stay focused.
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Since my return from China and, as a decidedly non-artistic introduction, a version of my post on visiting the Wuxi supercomputing centre has been published on the Wuxi city website. However, aside from that, my non-work, non-academic time has been almost entirely focused on artistic experiences this week, including one movie, two comedy shows, and three gallery visits. The movie was with Nitul to see "Project Hail Mary", a high-stakes alien-contact film with drama, feel-good vibes, and probably a lot of explanatory lore behind the scenes. It was quite good, but rather overrated. The following evening I spent with Robbie K., and we took the opportunity to go to Hamer Hall to see Daniel Sloss perform his latest show, "Bitter"; and he has good reasons for that sentiment. He certainly delivers insightful content with natural talent, creativity, and sincerity, and that's what makes him a great artist.

Nitul and I caught up again the following night for the opening night of German artist Julius von Bismarck presenting his multimedia and installation pieces with a climatological edge, "This is Not The Storm" partly sponsored by the Goethe-Institut. The place was packed to the rafters, but I did get to talk with my old uni friend and author, Claire Coleman, whom I hadn't seen in twenty years. Today I decided to go back to the exhibition, hoping for a quieter visit, only to discover the artist was giving an explanatory tour of their works. This time, I managed to get a pretty thorough conversation in about climatological issues, Antarctica, and Zurich, and, curiously, I foresee future collaborations.

Further, B is visiting from interstate and last night we went to the comedy festival show, "Nosferatu Looking For Love" at the Motley Wherehouse (reminds me of a place in Sydney I used to frequent), also meeting up with Erica, Chiara, and Susie. The show was delightfully corny, as expected, and there was plentiful engagement with the small audience. I honestly don't care for much comedy, but the two scales of events this week, Rhiannon McCall and Daniel Sloss, were both very enjoyable experiences. Today we caught up again, this time to visit the basement beneath the State Library and to see the current exhibit, Rebel Heart; the latter is certainly worthwhile.

It has all been quite an exciting week, and it furthers my considered assessment that artistry, screening out the lack of context, depends very much on the creativity, talent, and sincerity of the artist, with the latter, the ethical component, often quite overlooked. I would rather discuss this matter a lot more, but alas, I will have to leave that for another day. As others prepare themselves for the rest of the weekend, I have to cloister myself to catch up with various climatological research, which I have fallen behind a little. But that will certainly make the bulk of the next post.
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Last weekend, a few hours after getting off the plane from Shanghai, I made my way to Conquest Gaming Convention, where I would staff the RPG Review Cooperative stall for two-and-a-half days. In the midst of this, however, I had previously been slotted to give a lecture at The Existentialist Society on "The Decline of French Philosophy". So for a couple of hours in the midst of the convention, I snuck backstage, and with soundproofing provided by heavy stage curtains, delivered the presentation. It was well attended, well received, and is viewable on YouTube , including the questions and answers session. A transcript is available in English and in French, albeit the latter hasn't been double-checked. The basic summary is that the French did some excellent philosophy to the phenomenologists and existentialists in the 1950s and 1960s, went downhill with the post-modernists and post-structuralists from the 1970s to the early 2000s (albeit with some good insights, especially relating to setting, and a definite improvement in artistry), but following the "science wars" of the late 90s and early 00s, there has been some new French philosophers who are a somewhat more useful.

At the end of the meeting I was asked by the convener what future talk I would like to deliver; I immediately suggested Jurgen Habermas, who died at age 96 whilst I was overseas. Habermas is a "second-generation" Frankfurt School whose major contribution to philosophy includes combining linguistic pragmatics with ordinary language philosophy, "the theory of communicative action". Habermas was a very important influence on my own political thinking since the early nineties when I first read "Legitimation Crisis", a careful study of potential areas of break-points in societies. Whilst I wasn't expecting to give this presentation for some months, I received an email from the convenor of the Society that the next allocated speaker for May was unavailable, and whether I could step in and give my talk on Habermas. I agreed and then realised (after a bit of suspicion) that I would be the first person in the history of the Existentialist Society, which has been delivering monthly lectures since Feb 1974 to be the speaker for two month's in succession. It is a significant, if accidental, honour, and hopefully I'll give credit not only to the Society, but also to the subject.

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With the conclusion of the formal ACFS trip, our party of thirteen ventured in their own directions from Chengdu. For me, it was an early morning trip to Wuxi, which I'll do by train in the future. Wuxi is a city I have been to four times now, and I chose a modest local hotel where people spoke less English than I speak Chinese, and that's saying something. I was a 30-minute walk to the Tai Lake (the more common anglophone name, "Taihu Lake", translates as "Great Lake Lake"). The designated scenic and ecological area is quite beautiful and large enough to spend several days exploring. By chance, I had arrived for a weekend of the Cherry Blossom Festival (not just a Japanese thing), and the parklands were alive with visitors and entertainment. The real purpose of my visit to this city, however, came on the Monday when I was given the opportunity to visit the National Supercomputing Centre and the Sunway TaihuLight supercomputer, which held the world's no 1 position for an unprecedented two years in succession. This was a bit of a personal dream come true for me and, as a result, I have written a few notes about it on my main website along with some earlier comments about the Guizhou data centre and radio telescope.

From Wuxi, I took a high-speed train to Shanghai, which peaked at 298km/h. Arriving at Shanghai, I had a leisurely morning with Melbourne people, Nadia and Michael, visiting the Buddhist Jing'an Temple before going our separate ways. I moved into my small (one room) refurbished apartment in a block inhabited since the 1920s, inhabited almost exclusively by older locals. The following day I met with the local Friendship Association who took me on a tour of the Shanghai library, a gleaming seven-story building that is mostly library, part museum, and part community centre. The building is so designed that it appears to float over water and overlooks extensive parkland. After that, I was taken on a visit to the Shanghai Art and Design Academy (SADA), which included various media workshops and a museum-like showcase of the best examples from former students. That evening, I went on a lengthy walk along The Bund with its famous colonial buildings (the imperialists left something worthwhile), and then spent much of the following day at the extensive History Museum, before heading to the airport for the overnight flight back to Australia.

Thus ends my fifth trip to China in the last 2.5 years. If one has the means, I certainly recommend a visit to culture, history, and the environment. At each visit, I become increasingly confident in my own capacity to get around independently, and I am absolutely delighted at how organised and efficient the Chinese intercity fast-train system is, but also their various intracity metro systems that are all clean, quiet, safe, frequent, extensive, and inexpensive, making them absolutely the preferred way to travel. In the long run, I hope to arrange a cultural exchange between the Shanghai Municipality and Victoria based on UNESCO-level cultural cities, as well as an operatic exchange between Sichuan and Victoria. However, it's early days on both of these projects. In the meantime, it's time for a brief repose from international journeys.
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After Guizhou, the next leg of the China journey has involved a return to Sichuan for several days. Nicknamed "the land of abundance" it receives this appelation initially on account of fertile agricultural plains surrounded by mountains. This is still very important to the province, but these days it is also due to the bustling commercial activity in the capital, Chengdu, and the industrial heartland of Dujiangyan. Like other Chinese cities these have a marvellous mix of old and new and because of the way such cities are designed (i.e., no suburban sprawl) they also provide numerous opportunities for nature to flourish. Visited examples, in order, of such a combination include the Wuhou Temple, dedicated to Prime Minister Zhuge Liang and Emperor Liu Bei, political leaders of the Kingdom of Shu in the Three Kingdoms Period some 1800 years ago; Zhuge's story is particularly impressive.

China is famous for pandas, and no province more so than Sichuan, which is almost overwhelming in panda promotion. One particular site is "Panda Valley", a research, breeding, and rewilding centre that is home to dozens of giant pandas and scores of red pandas. The location, as expected, is quite scenic, with its lush, cool environment providing a pleasant home for these impressive and gentle beasts. Nearby is Mount Qingcheng, one of the most sacred sites to religious Taoism, specifically Zhang Daoling's "Way of the Celestial masters". The mountain area is astoundingly beautiful, with many Taoist temples and shrines well integrated into the environment. Our tour guide took some delight in her argument that giant pandas are Taoist because of their yin-yang colouration.

Nearby is a particularly grand example of ancient engineering Dujiangyan Irrigation System, built over 2,200 years ago and still in use today, a credit to the lead engineer, Li Bing, who managed to see this built without explosives. As the oldest and only surviving no-dam irrigation system in the world, it involved the building of an artificial island that redirected waters during the flood season and released them during the drier months. Since it was built, the Chengdu plain has been free from flooding, and the "water dragon" has been tamed. Unsurprisingly, it is also a UNESCO World Heritage Site.

Sichuan is also home to numerous ethnic minorities, including the Qiang people who live in the forested mountains in western Sichuan, and have their own autonomous county, their own language, religion, and practise their culture, including colourful embroidery. After an interesting and lengthy bus trip, our group stayed at Shiyi mountain village, which included quite a greeting ceremony with local chanting, drumming, and firecrackers at our arrival, and in the evening, a bonfire and dance. It must also be noted that the village was reconstructed after the devastating Wenchaun earthquake. Finally, there was a visit to the Sanxingdui Museum, with its impressive collection of Bronze Age artefacts dating back over 3,500 years. It seems that Sichuan has been a "land of abundance" for many centuries.
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I have just spent the past four days in Guizhou, a south-western inland district of China. The physical geography is nothing short of stunning, with most of the area covered in lush woodlands over karst hills and mountains, which, even in spring, are often shrouded with cool mists underneath grey skies. It is among some of the most beautiful landscapes I have seen, and I have been fortunate enough in life to see a great deal. One such area includes the Huangguoshu Scenic Area with its numerous waterfalls; the main one (at 100m wide and 78m high) includes a cave system behind the waterfall. This is also the location where, according to legend, the classic story "Journey to the West" begins, and the site has many monuments to this tale. I thoroughly enjoyed teaching our local guide the opening verse and chorus to the BBC series "Monkey Magic". What little flat land exists in valleys is home to packed population centres and intensive farming. As always, the physical geography has a profound influence on social geography, with Guizhou being home to numerous ethnic minority groups, such as the Buyi, Miao, Dong and Yao, whose language and culture are not just recognised but celebrated and are prevalent in locations such as the Qingyan Ancient Town.

In more recent years, Guizhou has become home to some truly remarkable projects, which I also had the opportunity to visit. This includes the world's longest and highest bridge at Huajiang Canyon, which was completed last year. Over 2km in length and a deck height of 625m, the bridge has a walkway underneath with a magnificent view, including a bungy jump, albeit at the eye-watering price of 3000RMB. Another project of note is FAST, the Five-Hundred-Metre Aperture Spherical Radio Telescope (FAST), the world's largest and most sensitive single-aperture spherical radio telescope and includes a well-designed Astronomical Experience Museum, which includes a theatre, planetarium, and a special exhibit on black holes. It also includes a bungy jump, which at 80RMB was incredibly affordable, but alas was closed because it wasn't holiday season - stymied again! FAST is in a radio-quiet zone, which means no digital cameras, mobile phones, or even gate buzzers. The surrounding Tianyan Scenic Area more than makes up for this minor inconvenience, and one could easily spend at least a week here. Finally, Guizhou is also home to the first National Big Data Pilot Zone, which makes a great deal of sense given some of the scientific projects that are occurring nearby.

Although often overlooked by foreign tourists, in many ways, Guizhou represents a remarkable combination and harmonious balance between ancient and modern China. This is a place which, whilst clearly self-sufficient due to soil and rainfall, was less developed than the populous big trading regions of the east and southern coast. It is certainly a place that could cultivate a slower-paced and peaceful life, and unsurprisingly features heavily in classical Chinese artwork as well as being a home for the contemplative and ecologically-minded. New constructions, such as the projects just mentioned, and the extensive fast train networks with their tunnels and bridges abound, have all been introduced gently and alongside the natural environment. Although my stay was fairly short and I did not nearly visit all the remarkable sites, I feel quite confident in recommending Guizhou as a place that is well worth a visit, and I hope to do so again one day soon.

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