Is this a good sign?
I don't know whether this is a really excellent sign for the general election or if that much really changes between now and November that this doesn't mean anything.
Looking at the results of Super Tuesday, it seems like more people are voting for the Democratic candidates than the Republican ones - both in "swing" states and even in traditionally red states. From cnn.com:
In Alabama: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is 523,000. The Republicans' combined vote is over 550,000.*
In Arkansas: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is 270,000. The Republicans' combined vote is just over 200,000.
In Colorado: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is 118,000. The Republicans' combined vote is 56,000.
In Georgia: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is over 1,000,000. The Republicans' combined vote is just over 950,000.
In Missouri: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is 800,000. The Republicans' combined vote is just over 580,000.
In North Dakota: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is over 18,000. The Republicans' combined vote is almost 10,000.
In Oklahoma: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is almost 360,000. The Republicans' combined vote is almost 330,000.
In Tennessee: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is over 580,000. The Republicans' combined vote is almost 547,000.
I'm even playing it a little safe with the numbers - on the Democratic side, I only added Clinton and Obama's votes (ignoring all the Edwards or undecided votes) but I added ALL the votes on the Republican side, including those for Guiliani, Thompson and Paul. In almost every state above Clinton and Obama got more individual votes than the frontrunners McCain, Romney or Huckabee, AND got more or very close combined votes as well.
Is this a good sign? It seems incredible to me - was it expected? Or is the primaries voter turn-out really that different from the general election turn-out? Different enough to swing those numbers significantly in favor of the Republicans? Right now, it seems like we're doing extremely well.
*That's still much closer than I would have imagined for the state - and Clinton and Obama both got more individually than Huckabee and McCain, the #1 and #2 in that state.
Looking at the results of Super Tuesday, it seems like more people are voting for the Democratic candidates than the Republican ones - both in "swing" states and even in traditionally red states. From cnn.com:
In Alabama: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is 523,000. The Republicans' combined vote is over 550,000.*
In Arkansas: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is 270,000. The Republicans' combined vote is just over 200,000.
In Colorado: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is 118,000. The Republicans' combined vote is 56,000.
In Georgia: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is over 1,000,000. The Republicans' combined vote is just over 950,000.
In Missouri: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is 800,000. The Republicans' combined vote is just over 580,000.
In North Dakota: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is over 18,000. The Republicans' combined vote is almost 10,000.
In Oklahoma: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is almost 360,000. The Republicans' combined vote is almost 330,000.
In Tennessee: Clinton and Obama's combined vote is over 580,000. The Republicans' combined vote is almost 547,000.
I'm even playing it a little safe with the numbers - on the Democratic side, I only added Clinton and Obama's votes (ignoring all the Edwards or undecided votes) but I added ALL the votes on the Republican side, including those for Guiliani, Thompson and Paul. In almost every state above Clinton and Obama got more individual votes than the frontrunners McCain, Romney or Huckabee, AND got more or very close combined votes as well.
Is this a good sign? It seems incredible to me - was it expected? Or is the primaries voter turn-out really that different from the general election turn-out? Different enough to swing those numbers significantly in favor of the Republicans? Right now, it seems like we're doing extremely well.
*That's still much closer than I would have imagined for the state - and Clinton and Obama both got more individually than Huckabee and McCain, the #1 and #2 in that state.