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How many ways can a limited set of natural numbers be added together $x$ times to get $y$.

You know the denominator for computing the probability, but are stuck as to how to compute the numerator. Your original problem (with some modification of symbols to conform to the form into which I ...
true blue anil's user avatar
1 vote

How many ways can a limited set of natural numbers be added together $x$ times to get $y$.

This answer doesn't give a method for computing the individual probabilities that's necessarily faster, but it organizes the computation into a familiar form, namely expanding a polynomial power. This ...
Sammy Black's user avatar
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3 votes

How many ways can a limited set of natural numbers be added together $x$ times to get $y$.

One way to characterize this problem is as a particular statistic drawn from a multinomial distribution. Specifically, the distribution of interest here is the trinomial distribution ($k=3$) of events ...
Semiclassical's user avatar
0 votes

Can the first and second derivatives of the Exponentially Smoothed Moving Average be calculated?

Huh, this is a problem that I solved for myself last summer. It achieves the aim of having an estimated position, velocity, and acceleration of an average. At the cost of having that average be ...
btilly's user avatar
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0 votes

How do I calculate the quartiles for this problem?

As explained in the previously posted answers, the multiple $7\text{s}$ are easily dealt with. Just make a sorted list of all the data, each value occurring in the list the same number of times as in ...
David K's user avatar
  • 112k
1 vote

Is there a quicker way to solve this probability question?

You should have drawn the Venn diagram out and seen that there is tremendous symmetry in this problem. Of course, you could have also mentally realised that there is tremendous symmetry in the problem ...
naturallyInconsistent's user avatar
11 votes
Accepted

Is there a quicker way to solve this probability question?

The working is correct, but it can be much faster with a Venn diagram. We are given $$\frac13 = \frac{y}{y+0.12}$$ This is annoying to solve directly. But we can convert it into a ratio, much like ...
Benjamin Wang's user avatar
0 votes

How to use the binomial test for obtaining an accuracy threshold for a binary classifier?

The basic idea here is that you should want the test to reject $H_0 : p = 0.5$ in favor of $H_1 : p > 0.5$ if the number of correct predictions is "sufficiently high" as to suggest that ...
heropup's user avatar
  • 147k
2 votes
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The median of a frequency distribution and $g(x)=\sum_{k=1}^n f_k |x-x_k|$

All three statements of OP about median are correct and exhaustive. The constructed function $g(x)$ is actually $n$ times the mean deviation of the frequency distribution (FD). OP's observation about ...
Z Ahmed's user avatar
  • 47.3k
2 votes

Given 100 coin tosses, the largest string of same results in a row is...?

$\def\ed{\stackrel{\text{def}}{=}}$ If $\ L_n\ $ is the length of the longest run of consecutive flips of the same outcome occurring in a sequence of $\ n\ $ tosses of a fair coin, you can obtain the ...
lonza leggiera's user avatar
1 vote

Expectation under different laws

When talking about probability, you have a measure space $(\Omega, \sigma, \mu)$ (where $\sigma$ is the sigma-algebra and $\mu$ is a probability measure). Now, random variables are just measurable ...
Alessandro's user avatar
0 votes

Question regarding independence in set theory: Does the provided statement give independence for one set of events, or all pairs of events?

You do not care whether buying the health policy affects the choice of which of the two life polices to buy. Since you "Assume nobody purchases both life insurances" you may as well consider ...
Henry's user avatar
  • 173k
0 votes

Understanding convergence in law to a continuous CDF

The idea of a reasoning by contradiction may work. However, the negation of "$a_n\to a$" is rather "there exists $\varepsilon_0$ and a subsequence $(a_{n_k})$ such that for each $k$, $\...
Davide Giraudo's user avatar
0 votes
Accepted

Question regarding independence in set theory: Does the provided statement give independence for one set of events, or all pairs of events?

The event "the participant wanted to purchase exactly only one policy" can be written $$ (H \cap (P \cup Q)') \cup (H' \cap (P \cup Q)). $$ Note that $H \cap (P \cup Q)' = H \cap P' \cap Q'$ ...
David K's user avatar
  • 112k
2 votes
Accepted

Obtaining One of Multiple Subsets Coupon Collector Variant

Define $C$ to be the number of the first draw on which all of the ranks have been seen in some one of the suits. We want to find $E(C)$. The approach is to find the exponential generating function $g(...
awkward's user avatar
  • 15.7k
-1 votes

Need a review on my proof that a sequence forms a martingale

I think one should explicitly give a definition of the reversed order of the filtration to be accurate because using the same notation for the reversed order filtration make things a bit confusing. ...
optimal control's user avatar
0 votes

Hypothesis testing with a sample from a shifted exponential distribution (Jun Shao - Mathematical Statistics, exercise 6.20, point (v))

I think the key point is that for a test of size $\alpha$ you want $\mathbb P(\text{Reject }H_0 \mid H_0) = \alpha$. As you say, if $a_1 \le x_{(1)} \lt a_0$, then you will reject $H_0$. Indeed $\...
Henry's user avatar
  • 173k
0 votes

Why isn't a t test used when comparing two proportions?

I had the same question for a long time, fwiw. The t-test assumes that the mean and the variance of the distribution are independent (which is teh case for normal distributions). But this is not true ...
jginestet's user avatar
  • 121
3 votes

Continuous vs Discrete Variables

A variable is discrete if its set of possible values is countable (typically integers: 0, 1, 2, …). However, a variable is continuous if it can take any real value in an interval (e.g., 16.2, 16.2001, ...
optimal control's user avatar
9 votes
Accepted

Continuous vs Discrete Variables

However, some people consider "the number of students in Harvard University" as continuous rather than discrete, because the number of students in Harvard changes per year or per term. Are ...
ryang's user avatar
  • 45.6k
2 votes

Probability question on drawing balls

Chancing upon the question, I am posting a palpably simpler way to arrive at the answer, avoiding casework. Drawing out balls from the right, the leftmost ball must be red for the condition to be met,...
true blue anil's user avatar
2 votes
Accepted

What is probability distribution function of the sum of two independent random variables when one variable is correlated with itself?

If $X_i \sim U[-d,d]$ and $Y_{ij}\sim N(0,1)$ are independent of each other, then the distribution of $Z_{ij} = X_i + Y_{ij}$ is indeed the convolution to the two individual distributions, with ...
Henry's user avatar
  • 173k
0 votes

Statistics: Using Stirling's Approximation with $3 N$

So, as Donald has noted above, when it comes to Multinomial coefficients, there's more than one degree of freedom when it comes to the relationship between each $N_i$, and thus we need to be explicit ...
Lee Davis-Thalbourne's user avatar
0 votes

Deconvolution of distribution of diffraction reflexes

What helps is to re-express everything in variables that add linearly. Set $$ X=\frac{1}{a^{2}},\qquad Y=\frac{1}{b^{2}},\qquad Z=\frac{1}{c^{2}}, $$ and for a given reflection $(h,k,l)$ write $$ W=\...
138 Aspen's user avatar
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1 vote
Accepted

Definition of a Statistical model

Not all $\mu_\theta$, $\theta\in \Theta$ but only one$^1$ special $\mu_{\theta^*}$ (the unknown real one) is related to your $(\Omega, \Sigma, p)$ and $X: \Omega \to \mathbb{R}$. This $\mu_{\theta^*}$ ...
Leon's user avatar
  • 193
0 votes

Does Bayes’ Theorem apply in determining the probability of selecting a biased coin after flipping 4 heads?

To add to Lulu's answer, imagine we were conducting regular statistics and we observed the height of blades of grass. Assume I have ten blades and measure them, getting $a$ metres. I then gather five ...
user21764386's user avatar
1 vote

Optimal strategy for answering multiple choice test with positive expected value.

With your professed objective clarified in comments as "to score maximum points," and a net expected gain per question of $4\times\frac14 - 1\times\frac34 = \frac14$ even with total ...
true blue anil's user avatar
0 votes

How to estimate variances for Kalman filter from real sensor measurements without underestimating process noise.

Precision Evaluation in Discrete Kalman Filtering: A Posteriori Perspective, Journal of Global Positioning systems, www.cpgps.org/vol20i1-2.html, Joint No. 1 & No. 2: 69-87 How to estimate the ...
Jianguo Wang's user avatar
0 votes

Multinomial Distribution to Binomial Distribution and Joint Probability Function

$E(z_1^{X_1}\ldots)z_k^{X_k})=(p_1z_1+\cdots p_kz_k)^n$ implies by doing $z_2=\dots=z_k=1$ that $E(z_1^{X^1})=(1-p_1+p_1z_1)^n$ and $X_1\sim B(n,p_1).$ For the joint distribution of $(X_1,X_2),$ ...
Letac Gérard's user avatar
3 votes
Accepted

How much less is the arithmetic mean than the max given the average deviation?

Fix wlog $\mathrm{AM}=\mu$ and $\max=b$. The maximal AAD is obtained for $n-1$ values equal to $b$ and only one value equal to $a=n\mu-(n-1)b$, as you already noticed, and in this case $\mathrm{AAD}=\...
Christophe Boilley's user avatar
0 votes

Covariance of Unbiased Sample Variance Estimators with Overlapping Samples

We have the following formula: \begin{equation} \begin{aligned} \left(N+d-1\right)v(N+d) = & \left(N-1\right)v(N) +\sum\limits_{i=N+1}^{N+d} \left(x_i - \frac{1}{d}\sum\...
mathematurgist's user avatar
2 votes
Accepted

Double negatives in hypothesis test conclusions

Aside from the concern that you have the responsibility of assigning grades for examinations without sufficient statistical background (in the sense that you need to post a question online), the idea ...
heropup's user avatar
  • 147k
1 vote

What is the name of the distribution of the maximum number of distinguishable balls in a single distinguishable box?

With the scale of numbers you are talking about, two approaches seems reasonable: simulation or approximation. For example for simulation using $10^4$ cases of $10^5$ balls going into $10^2$ bins, ...
Henry's user avatar
  • 173k
1 vote

Predicting $Y$ from a correlated variable $X$

The problem is easier when both $X$ and $Y$ are jointly lognormal. Denoting the logarithms of $X$ and $Y$ by $x$ and $y$ respectively, both $x$ and $y$ are normally distributed. Let the means of $x$ ...
Jayanth R Varma's user avatar
2 votes

Mixture Model Expectation

It is not clear what you mean by "we are computing the expectation of the sample mean with respect to the model $p_\theta$". My understanding is that $X_i$ is a random variable which assumes ...
Jayanth R Varma's user avatar
0 votes

Proof for the distribution of a two-sample t-test with unequal population variances.

This is called Welch's $t$-test and there are numerous mentions in statistical textbooks as well as the links for the Wikipedia article. The numerator is normally distributed under your assumptions ...
Henry's user avatar
  • 173k
0 votes

“Central limit theorem” for symmetric random variables with no finite mean

I commented that with stable distributions with heavier tails than a Cauchy distribution, the distribution of $\frac{X_1+\cdots+X_n}{n}$ is not stable as $n$ increases and you have to divide by ...
Henry's user avatar
  • 173k
1 vote

Dominated statistical models

Yes, this is true. For 1. $\Longrightarrow$ 2., simply take $\nu = \mu^{\otimes n}$ to get the dominating measure for the product. This is a $\sigma$-finite measure which dominates the product of the ...
Nathaël's user avatar
  • 175

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