Eurasia Group

“Beijing’s attempts to take advantage of Trumpian chaos to shore up its international image has its limits,” says our expert Amanda Hsiao. When it comes to China’s military parade, “it will be undercut by a massive display of military hard power and its close ties and narrative alignment with Moscow.” https://lnkd.in/esQqHjYn

What we’re watching: ➡️ China’s giant parade sends a message to the West ➡️ Poland’s new president comes to DC to discuss its own Russia problem ➡️ Trump escalates pressure on Maduro with Caribbean strike Get the details from GZERO Media: https://lnkd.in/eHpzdccx

The US is becoming increasingly unpredictable and unreliable, and China is seizing the opportunity to position itself as a more stable long-term partner. Ian Bremmer breaks down what this means for each country's global standing: #QuickTake GZERO Media 

What we’re watching: ➡️ Russia suspected of jamming von der Leyen’s plane ➡️ Ghana’s chief justice fired in rare presidential move ➡️ Taliban calls for help as earthquake death toll surpasses 1,400 Get the details from GZERO Media: https://lnkd.in/eej4aEmS

We’re excited to share that PRISM is joining Eurasia Group, strengthening our ability to support corporate leaders navigating today’s complex global environment. PRISM is a geopolitical risk advisory start-up recognized for helping multinational companies turn disruption into strategic advantage. As part of this integration, PRISM’s founders, Johan Gott and George Coe, will join Eurasia Group as Directors of Corporate Advisory. Johan and George have a proven record of helping executives adapt strategy in the face of global disruption, and their experience will expand our capacity to deliver senior-level advisory and cutting-edge research for corporate clients. This partnership combines Eurasia Group’s unparalleled political risk analysis with PRISM’s expertise in global macro strategy, geopolitical simulation, and supply chain risk. Together, we are building a stronger platform to help clients anticipate challenges, seize opportunities, and achieve resilience — at the intersection of geopolitics, strategy, and commercial growth.

While the EU has improved its defense outlook, there are other areas where it’s still falling short in closing its competitiveness gap with the US and China – including capital markets integration and improving the tech ecosystem. Our expert Mujtaba Rahman examines where progress is being made versus where the bloc is falling short: POLITICO Europe https://lnkd.in/exvuN_MQ

"Japanese inflation remains modest compared to elsewhere, but it is enough to hurt people's pocketbooks, mainly because salaries have not kept up," says our expert David Boling. "The shift has been difficult, especially for the elderly on fixed incomes." https://lnkd.in/e2fQddiE

As Xi Jinping gathers his closest allies for a landmark summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, members may look for security reassurance. But our expert Jeremy Chan says recent history shows that when the going gets tough, China is absent for its friends, whether that’s on a multilateral or bilateral basis. https://lnkd.in/eRSTUnYk

What we’re watching: ➡️ Protests erupt further in Indonesia ➡️ India and Canada continue to mend ties after Sikh separatist killing ➡️ El Salvador schools enforce military haircuts Get the details from GZERO Media: https://lnkd.in/etNWgi3n

Bayrou is clinging to a slim chance of remaining France’s prime minister. Our expert Mujtaba Rahman says Bayrou sought to shock France into facing the gravity of the country’s debt crisis, though he may have changed little but the date of his own execution. https://lnkd.in/eKvz2QVU