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IRONMAN
Mapping the Hardest and Easiest Races by Qualifying Standards
Life as a professional amateur triathlete can get tough. For one, it's basically always a roll of the dice if you win a race, let alone qualify for the big kahuna (aka worlds). After suffering an incredibly disappointing finish at 70.3 Lake Placid this past year, I got to wondering -- what Ironman event is the easiest event to qualify for worlds?
There are a few data points that come into play to determine how easy a race is to qualify. To qualify with complete certainty, you must flat-out win your age group. Roll downs are rare, although they do happen, but to be safe, you really need to get age group podium to have any hopes of moving on to worlds.
Thus, the primary metrics we are interested in at the moment are
- the delta between the top finisher (pro and non-pro) and the top finisher in the AG.
- the variance in age group finishing time.
While the delta between the top dogs and the AG winner is the strongest indicator of how tough a race is to qualify in, secondary metrics like how difficult the course is for swim/bike/run could affect personal opinions on the qualifying times. For example, maybe the jabroni who won LP put up a real slow bike split and decent swim/run, and you are known around the block for your watt mashing abilities... Maybe LP could be the race for you. Filter by sport to see how those jawns compare.
Send it #Full #send
TODO: track roll downs based on roster and place track variance in all age groups... what is the hardest age group to qualify in?
Create a website to host all of these small jawns. Get strava data from IM races. Do things like --> how many people got absolutely yeeted by the notch? How much do people actually train? Does it matter? (check for people in the race then look a their workouts for < 6 months before) ML that parses peoples strava logs after looking at performance in races and creates workout plans.
Example PSQL Queries
SELECT * FROM longhorn WHERE division::text LIKE 'M18-24' ORDER by overall ASC limit 3;
gets the top 3 finishers from male 18-24