Forecasting with Imprecise/Indeterminate Probabilities [IP] – some preliminary findings

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Part 1 Background on de Finetti’s twin criteria of coherence: Coherence1: 2-sided previsions free from dominance through a Book. Coherence2: Forecasts free from dominance under Brier (squared error) score. Part 2 IP theory based on a scoring rule

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Teddy Seidenfeld
Carnegie Mellon University

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