Evidence, causality, and sequential choice

Theory and Decision 97 (4):613-636 (2024)
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Abstract

Philosophers’ two favorite accounts of rational choice, Evidential Decision Theory (EDT) and Causal Decision Theory (CDT), each face a number of serious objections. Especially troubling are the recent charges that these theories are dynamically inconsistent. I note here that, under the epistemic assumptions that validate these charges, every decision theory that satisfies a pair of attractive postulates is doomed to a similar fate and then survey various lessons rational choice theorists might opt to draw from this.

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2024-07-02

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Gerard Joseph Rothfus
Texas Christian University

Citations of this work

Deference and Decision.Daniel Herrmann & Gerard Rothfus - forthcoming - Theory and Decision:1-27.

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References found in this work

Causality: Models, Reasoning and Inference.Judea Pearl - 2000 - New York: Cambridge University Press.
The Logic of Decision.Richard C. Jeffrey - 1965 - New York, NY, USA: University of Chicago Press.
Risk and Rationality.Lara Buchak - 2013 - Oxford, GB: Oxford University Press.
Decision theory with a human face.Richard Bradley - 2017 - Cambridge University Press.

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