Computing the perfect model: Why do economists Shun simulation?

Philosophy of Science 74 (3):304-329 (2007)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

Like other mathematically intensive sciences, economics is becoming increasingly computerized. Despite the extent of the computation, however, there is very little true simulation. Simple computation is a form of theory articulation, whereas true simulation is analogous to an experimental procedure. Successful computation is faithful to an underlying mathematical model, whereas successful simulation directly mimics a process or a system. The computer is seen as a legitimate tool in economics only when traditional analytical solutions cannot be derived, i.e., only as a purely computational aid. We argue that true simulation is seldom practiced because it does not fit the conception of understanding inherent in mainstream economics. According to this conception, understanding is constituted by analytical derivation from a set of fundamental economic axioms. We articulate this conception using the concept of economists' perfect model. Since the deductive links between the assumptions and the consequences are not transparent in ‘bottom‐up’ generative microsimulations, microsimulations cannot correspond to the perfect model and economists do not therefore consider them viable candidates for generating theories that enhance economic understanding.

Other Versions

No versions found

Analytics

Added to PP
2009-01-28

Downloads
261 (#160,255)

6 months
28 (#328,355)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Author Profiles

Aki Petteri Lehtinen
Nankai University
Jaakko Kuorikoski
University of Helsinki

Citations of this work

Economic Modelling as Robustness Analysis.Jaakko Kuorikoski, Aki Lehtinen & Caterina Marchionni - 2010 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 61 (3):541-567.
Scientific understanding: truth or dare?Henk W. de Regt - 2015 - Synthese 192 (12):3781-3797.
Simulating peer disagreements.Igor Douven - 2010 - Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 41 (2):148-157.

View all 31 citations / Add more citations