Determinism, Counterpredictive Devices, and the Impossibility of Laplacean Intelligences

The Monist 102 (4):478-498 (2019)
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Abstract

In a famous passage drawing implications from determinism, Laplace introduced the image an intelligence who knew the positions and momenta of all of the particles of which the universe is composed, and asserted that in a deterministic universe such an intelligence would be able to predict everything that happens over its entire history. It is not, however, difficult to establish the physical possibility of a counterpredictive device, i.e., a device designed to act counter to any revealed prediction of its behavior. What would happen if a Laplacean intelligence were put into communication with such a device and forced to reveal its prediction of what the device would do on some occasion? On the one hand, it seems that the Laplacean Intelligence should be able to predict the device's behavior. On the other hand, it seems like that device should be able to act counter to the prediction. An examination of the puzzle leads to clarification of what determinism does entail, with some insights about various other things along the way.

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Jenann Ismael
Columbia University

Citations of this work

The Open Universe: Totality, Self-reference and Time.Jenann Ismael - 2024 - Australasian Philosophical Review 8 (3):216-233.
Humeanism and the Pragmatic Turn.Michael Townsen Hicks, Siegfried Jaag & Christian Loew - 2023 - In Christian Loew, Siegfried Jaag & Michael Townsen Hicks, Humean Laws for Human Agents. Oxford: Oxford UP. pp. 1-15.
Back to Reichenbach: Back to Reichenbach.Carlo Rovelli - 2024 - Journal for General Philosophy of Science / Zeitschrift für Allgemeine Wissenschaftstheorie 56 (1):97-115.

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References found in this work

Implications of causal propagation outside the Null Cone.John Earman - 1972 - Australasian Journal of Philosophy 50 (3):222 – 237.

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