The Predictive Power of Long Wave Theory, 1989-2004

Rhuthmos (forthcoming)
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Abstract

Prepared for NATO conference on Kondratieff Waves and Warfare, Covilha, Portugal, Feb. 2005. Published in T. C. Devezas, ed., Kondratieff Waves, Warfare and World Security. Amsterdam : IOS, 2006. Also online here.: My work in the mid-1980s on Kondratieff waves tried to explain long waves in terms of causal relationships among six main variables : war, production, prices, innovation, investment, and real wages. I emphasized war as a central element ; saw production waves as (...) - Économie et Marxisme – Nouvel article

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Josh Goldstein
Bristol University

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