Assessing risky social situations

Abstract

This paper re-examines the welfare economics of risk. It singles out a class of criteria, the “expected equally-distributed equivalent”, as the unique class which avoids serious drawbacks of existing approaches. Such criteria behave like ex-post criteria when the final statistical distribution of wellbeing is known ex ante, and like ex-ante criteria when risk generates no inequality. The paper also provides a new result on the tension between inequality aversion and respect of individual ex ante preferences, in the vein of Harsanyi’s aggregation theorem.

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2010-07-25

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Citations of this work

Population Ethics under Risk.Gustaf Arrhenius & H. Orri Stefánsson - 2025 - Social Choice and Welfare 65 (4):829–852.
The Risk-Priority View.Pietro Cibinel - forthcoming - Economics and Philosophy.
Welfare and autonomy under risk.Pietro Cibinel - 2025 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 110 (2):526-551.
The Sure-Thing Principle.Jean Baccelli & Lorenz Hartmann - 2023 - Journal of Mathematical Economics 109 (102915).

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References found in this work

Fairness, Responsibility, and Welfare.Marc Fleurbaey - 2008 - Oxford, GB: Oxford University Press. Edited by M. Fleurbaey.
Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk.D. Kahneman & A. Tversky - 1979 - Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society:263--291.

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