An Introduction to NOAA's Annual Greenhouse Gas Index
Long-lived greenhouse gases absorb infrared radiation and warm the atmosphere, land, and oceans. The contributions of different gases to that process varies greatly depending on the gas and how its concentration has changed over time, making it difficult to grasp how the heating by greenhouse gases has changed overall.
In 2006, scientists with NOAA’s Global Monitoring Laboratory developed the Annual Greenhouse Gas Index, or AGGI, as a way to help non-scientists readily appreciate how the overall warming from atmospheric concentrations of these greenhouse gases has changed over time.
The five long-lived greenhouse gases that contribute most to the AGGI include carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and two ozone-depleting gases, CFC-12 and CFC-11.
These five gases currently account for about 96 percent of the sustained change in Earth’s energy balance arising from emissions of long-lived greenhouse gases since 1750. Seventeen additional (“secondary”) greenhouse gases are also tracked by NOAA scientists and are included in the AGGI, and they account for the remaining 4 percent.
The index is benchmarked to a value of 1.0 for the year 1990, the baseline year for emission reductions in early global climate agreements. The AGGI in 2024 was 1.54, which means that the increment of heat added by long-lived greenhouse gases during the industrial era has increased by 54% since 1990.
The AGGI continues to provide an easily understandable way to track the increasing amount of excess heat being trapped in the atmosphere by human-emitted greenhouse gases.
Key takeaways:
- The AGGI in 2024 was 1.54, which means that the increment of heat added by greenhouse gases during the industrial era has increased by 54% since 1990.
- It took approximately 240 years for the value of the AGGI to go from 0 to 1—that is, to increase from preindustrial values to that in 1990—and only 34 years for it to increase by another 54%.
- In terms of CO2 equivalents, the atmosphere in 2024 contained 539 ppm, of which 422.8 is CO2 alone. The rest comes from other gases.
- CO2 is by far the largest contributor to the value of the AGGI and how it has changed over time.
More details on the 2024 Annual Greenhouse Gas Index are at gml.noaa.gov/aggi/aggi.html.
