2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana

2010 Indiana's 8th congressional district election
← 2008 2012 →
	County results ; Bucshon: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
U.S. Representative before election; Brad Ellsworth; Democratic	Elected U.S. Representative ; Larry Bucshon; Republican

2010 Indiana's 2nd congressional district election
← 2008 2012 →
	County results ; Donnelly: 40–50% 50–60% ; Walorski: 50–60% 60–70%
U.S. Representative before election; Joe Donnelly; Democratic	Elected U.S. Representative ; Joe Donnelly; Democratic

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana
← 2008 November 2, 2010 2012 →
All 9 Indiana seats to the United States House of Representatives
Democratic Hold	Republican Hold Gain
Democratic 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%	Republican 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
Democratic 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%	Republican 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%

The 2010 congressional elections in Indiana were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Indiana in the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 2011 until January 2013, except for the winner of the 3rd District's special election, who will serve the few remaining weeks of the 111th Congress.

Indiana has nine seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana, 2010^[1]
Party		Votes	Percentage	Seats	+/–
	Republican	972,671	55.65%	6	+2
	Democratic	679,462	38.88%	3	-2
	Libertarian	84,289	4.82%	0	-
	Independents	11,298	0.65%	0	-
Totals		1,747,720	100.00%	9	-

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana by district:^[2]

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result

	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	65,558	38.63%	99,387	58.56%	4,762	2.81%	169,707	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 2	88,803	46.84%	91,341	48.18%	9,447	4.98%	189,591	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 3	116,140	62.76%	61,267	33.11%	7,642	4.13%	185,049	100.0%	Republican hold
District 4	138,732	68.57%	53,167	26.28%	10,423	5.15%	202,322	100.0%	Republican hold
District 5	146,899	62.14%	60,024	25.39%	29,484	12.47%	236,407	100.0%	Republican hold
District 6	126,027	66.57%	56,647	29.92%	6,635	3.51%	189,309	100.0%	Republican hold
District 7	55,213	37.81%	86,011	58.89%	4,815	3.30%	146,039	100.0%	Democratic hold
District 8	117,259	57.55%	76,265	37.43%	10,240	5.02%	203,764	100.0%	Republican gain
District 9	118,040	52.34%	95,353	42.28%	12,139	5.38%	225,532	100.0%	Republican gain
Total	972,671	55.65%	679,462	38.88%	95,587	5.47%	1,747,720	100.0%

District 1

Democrat Pete Visclosky has represented this district since 1985. The PVI is D+8. He faced Republican activist Mark Leyva and Libertarian candidate Jon Morris. Visclosky was endorsed by the Northwest Indiana Times and the Indianapolis Star.^[3]^[4]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[5]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg^[6]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[7]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
RCP^[8]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics^[9]	Safe D	October 28, 2010
New York Times^[10]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight^[10]	Safe D	November 1, 2010

Results

Indiana's 1st Congressional District Election (2010)
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Pete Visclosky (incumbent)	99,387	58.56%
	Republican	Mark J. Leyva	65,558	38.63%
	Libertarian	Jon Morris	4,762	2.81%
Total votes			169,707	100.00%
	Democratic hold

By county

Source^[11]

County	Pete Visclosky Democratic		Mark Leyva Republican		Jon Morris Libertarian		Margin		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Total
Benton	719	32.42%	1,352	60.96%	147	6.63%	-633	-28.54%	2,218
Jasper	2,941	35.75%	4,998	60.75%	288	3.50%	-2,058	-25.02%	8,227
Lake	72,818	63.72%	38,857	34.00%	2,609	2.28%	33,961	29.72%	114,284
Newton	1,704	39.78%	2,335	54.51%	245	5.72%	-631	-14.73%	4,284
Porter	21,205	52.11%	18,016	44.27%	1,473	3.62%	3,189	7.84%	40,694

District 2

Democrat Joe Donnelly had represented this district since 2007 and ran for reelection. He was challenged by Republican nominee State Representative Jackie Walorski, whom he defeated.^[12]

Obama carried this district with 54% of the vote in 2008.^[13]

IN - District 2 from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign Contributions from OpenSecrets
2010 Indiana - 2nd District from CQ Politics
Race profile at The New York Times

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Joe Donnelly (D)	Jackie Walorski (R)	Undecided
EPIC-MRA^[14]	October 20–22, 2010	400	± 4.9%	48%	43%	n/a
EPIC-MRA^[15]	October 1–3, 2010	400	± 4.9%	48%	39%	7%
American Action Forum via South Bend Tribune^[16]	August 16–19, 2010	400	± 4.9%	46%	44%	n/a
The Polling Company^[17]	July 31-August 3, 2010	309	± 5.6%	52%	35%	11%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[5]	Tossup	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg^[6]	Lean D	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[7]	Lean D	November 1, 2010
RCP^[8]	Tossup	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics^[9]	Lean D	October 28, 2010
New York Times^[10]	Tossup	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight^[10]	Lean D	November 1, 2010

Results

Indiana's 2nd Congressional District Election (2010)
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Joe Donnelly (incumbent)	91,341	48.18%
	Republican	Jackie Walorski	88,803	46.84%
	Libertarian	Mark Vogel	9,447	4.98%
Total votes			189,591	100.00%
Turnout
	Democratic hold

By county

Sources^[11]

County	Joe Donnelly Democratic		Jackie Walorski Republican		Mark Vogel Libertarian		Margin		Total
County	#	%	#	%	#	%	#	%	Total
Carroll	1,850	30.90%	3,718	62.10%	419	7.00%	-1,868	-31.20%	5,987
Cass	3,608	33.00%	6,691	61.21%	633	5.79%	-3,083	-28.20%	10,932
Elkhart	7,756	40.80%	10,481	55.13%	775	4.08%	-2,725	-14.33%	19,012
Fulton	2,591	42.23%	3,149	51.33%	395	6.44%	-558	-9.10%	6,135
Howard	3,916	46.93%	3,901	46.75%	527	6.32%	15	0.18%	8,344
La Porte	15,709	54.19%	11,552	39.85%	1,726	5.95%	4,157	14.34%	28,987
Marshall	5,421	40.74%	7,226	54.30%	660	4.96%	-1,805	-13.56%	13,307
Porter	1,648	43.53%	1,922	50.77%	216	5.71%	-274	-7.24%	3,786
Pulaski	1,924	41.98%	2,335	51.01%	324	7.07%	-411	-8.97%	4,583
St. Joseph	42,707	53.34%	34,212	42.73%	3,145	3.93%	8,495	10.61%	80,064
Starke	3,771	53.24%	2,862	40.41%	450	6.35%	909	12.83%	7,083
White	440	32.09%	754	55.00%	177	12.91%	-314	-22.90%	1,371

District 3

Republican Mark Souder represented this district from 2003 until his resignation on May 18, 2010. Fellow Republican John McCain carried this district with 56% of the vote in the 2008 presidential election.^[18]

In the Republican primary, car dealer Bob Thomas gave Souder a strong challenge in the primary. An April SurveyUSA poll showed Thomas within six percentage points of Souder. Other Republican candidates included attorney Phil Troyer and Tea Party activist Greg Dickman. Souder won the primary with 48% of the vote. He was to face Democrat Fort Wayne councilman Tom Hayhurst.

However, as Souder announced his resignation both from Congress and from his Republican candidacy on May 18, 2010, Governor Mitch Daniels set a date for a special election to be held concurrently with the general election in November. A caucus was to be held to choose the Republican candidate for the special election and the general election. The Republican caucus to choose the nominee was held on June 12, 2010. State Senator Marlin Stutzman was selected as the Republican nominee for both the special and general elections.

Republican primary polling

Poll Source	Dates Administered	Mark Souder	Bob Thomas	Phil Troyer	Greg Dickman	Undecided
Survey USA (Link)	April 22–26, 2010	35%	29%	19%	2%	16%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[5]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg^[6]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[7]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
RCP^[8]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics^[9]	Safe R	October 28, 2010
New York Times^[10]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight^[10]	Safe R	November 1, 2010

Results

Indiana's 3rd Congressional District General Election (2010)
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Marlin Stutzman	116,140	62.76%
	Democratic	Thomas Hayhurst	61,267	33.11%
	Libertarian	Scott W. Wise	7,631	4.12%
	Write-In	Tom Metzger	10	0.01%
	Write-In	Wes Stephens	1	0.00%
Total votes			185,049	100.00%
Turnout
	Republican hold

By county

Source^[11]

County	Marlin Stutzman Republican		Tom Hayhurst Democratic		Scott Wise Libertarian		Tom Metzger Write-in		Wes Stephens Write-in		Margin		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Total
Allen	50,331	57.53%	33,892	38.74%	3,268	3.74%	1	0.00%	1	0.00%	16,439	18.79%	87,493
DeKalb	7,215	62.48%	3,771	32.66%	562	4.87%	0	0.00%	0	0.00%	3,442	29.81%	11,548
Elkhart	19,284	70.64%	7,251	26.56%	763	2.79%	1	0.00%	0	0.00%	12,033	44.08%	27,299
Kosciusko	14,820	74.27%	4,229	21.19%	897	4.50%	8	0.04%	0	0.00%	10,591	53.08%	19,954
LaGrange	4,578	69.65%	1,684	25.62%	311	4.73%	0	0.00%	0	0.00%	2,894	44.03%	6,573
Noble	7,263	64.18%	3,483	30.78%	570	5.04%	0	0.00%	0	0.00%	3,780	33.40%	11,316
Steuben	6,055	59.59%	3,565	35.09%	541	5.32%	0	0.00%	0	0.00%	2,490	24.51%	10,161
Whitley	6,594	61.60%	3,392	31.69%	719	6.72%	0	0.00%	0	0.00%	3,202	29.91%	10,705

District 3 special election

The 2010 special election for Indiana's 3rd congressional district was held November 2, contemporaneously with the regularly scheduled general election. The special election was called to fill the vacancy left by Republican Mark Souder, who resigned after an affair with a staffer was revealed.^[19]

Democratic candidates

Dr. Tom Hayhurst, former Fort Wayne City Councilor; 2006 and 2010 Democratic nominee.

Republican candidates

Nominee

Marlin Stutzman, State Senator and former U.S. Senate candidate^[20]

District 4

Republican Steve Buyer did not run for re-election. McCain carried the district with 56% of the vote. Todd Rokita, the Republican Secretary of State of Indiana, Republican State Senator Brandt Hershman, Cheryl Denise Allen and Mark Seitz filed to run for Buyer's vacant seat.^[21] Rokita won the primary and defeated Democrat David Sanders in the general election.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[5]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg^[6]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[7]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
RCP^[8]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics^[9]	Safe R	October 28, 2010
New York Times^[10]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight^[10]	Safe R	November 1, 2010

Results

Indiana's 4th Congressional District Election (2010)^[22]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Todd Rokita	138,732	68.57%
	Democratic	David Sanders	53,167	26.28%
	Libertarian	John Duncan	10,423	5.15%
Total votes			202,322	100.00%
Turnout
	Republican hold

By county

Source^[11]

County	Todd Rokita Republican		David Sanders Democratic		John Duncan Constitution		Margin		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Total
Boone	13,836	73.94%	3,954	21.13%	922	4.93%	9,882	52.81%	18,712
Clinton	4,989	67.45%	1,974	26.69%	434	5.87%	3,015	40.76%	7,397
Fountain	1,133	63.12%	544	30.31%	118	6.57%	589	32.81%	1,795
Hendricks	28,946	74.56%	8,191	21.10%	1,686	4.34%	20,755	53.46%	38,823
Johnson	24,216	73.99%	6,885	21.04%	1,627	4.97%	17,331	52.95%	32,728
Lawrence	7,454	68.22%	2,920	26.73%	552	5.05%	4,534	41.50%	10,926
Marion	8,125	60.50%	4,732	35.23%	573	4.27%	3,393	25.26%	13,430
Monroe	4,856	58.94%	2,984	36.22%	399	4.84%	1,872	22.72%	8,239
Montgomery	7,174	67.88%	2,533	23.97%	862	8.16%	4,641	43.91%	10,569
Morgan	13,351	74.10%	3,687	20.46%	980	5.44%	9,664	53.64%	18,018
Tippecanoe	20,572	57.80%	13,152	36.95%	1,866	5.24%	7,420	20.85%	35,590
White	4,080	66.94%	1,611	26.43%	404	6.63%	2,469	40.51%	6,095

District 5

Republican Dan Burton has represented this district since 2003. John McCain carried 59% of the vote in 2008.^[23]

Former Republican candidate Brose McVey, Indiana Republican Party Executive Director Luke Messer, State Representative Mike Murphy, and 2008 primary challenger John McGoff all formally announced their intention to run. Burton won the primary with just 30% of the vote. He faced Democrat Tim Crawford in the general election.^[24]

Republican primary polling

Poll Source	Dates Administered	Dan Burton	Luke Messer	Brose McVey	John McGoff	Mike Murphy	Andy Lyons	Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (Link)	March 5, 2010	43%	9%	8%	8%	4%	2%	26%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[5]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg^[6]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[7]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
RCP^[8]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics^[9]	Safe R	October 28, 2010
New York Times^[10]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight^[10]	Safe R	November 1, 2010

Results

Indiana's 5th Congressional District Election (2010)
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Dan Burton (incumbent)	146,899	62.14%
	Democratic	Tim Crawford	60,024	25.39%
	Libertarian	Richard Reid	18,266	7.73%
	Independent	Jesse C. Trueblood	11,218	4.75%
Total votes			236,407	100.00%
Turnout
	Republican hold

By county

Source^[25]

County	Dan Burton Republican		Tim Crawford Democratic		Richard Reid Libertarian		Jesse C. Trueblood Independent		Margin		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Total
Grant	9,880	61.81%	4,839	30.27%	794	4.97%	471	2.95%	5,041	31.54%	15,984
Hamilton	50,910	63.44%	17,616	21.95%	7,584	9.45%	4,143	5.16%	33,294	41.49%	80,253
Hancock	14,053	62.22%	5,454	24.15%	1,831	8.11%	1,249	5.53%	8,599	38.07%	22,587
Howard	10,949	62.98%	4,859	27.95%	713	4.10%	864	4.97%	6,090	35.03%	17,385
Huntington	7,994	71.70%	2,198	19.71%	446	4.00%	512	4.59%	5,796	51.98%	11,150
Johnson	1,395	67.13%	421	20.26%	126	6.06%	136	6.54%	974	46.87%	2,078
Marion	30,968	57.03%	16,288	30.00%	4,853	8.94%	2,191	4.03%	14,680	27.03%	54,300
Miami	5,400	61.94%	2,202	25.26%	578	6.63%	538	6.17%	3,198	36.68%	8,718
Shelby	5,874	63.84%	2,370	25.76%	548	5.96%	409	4.45%	3,504	38.08%	9,201
Tipton	3,625	62.04%	1,597	27.33%	314	5.37%	307	5.25%	2,028	34.71%	5,843
Wabash	5,851	65.68%	2,180	24.47%	479	5.38%	398	4.47%	3,671	41.21%	8,908

District 6

Republican Mike Pence represented this district since 2003. In the 2008 presidential election, Republican nominee McCain carried the district with 52% of the vote. Pence faced Democratic nominee Barry Welsh,^[26] a minister, and defeated him to keep his seat.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[5]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg^[6]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[7]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
RCP^[8]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics^[9]	Safe R	October 28, 2010
New York Times^[10]	Safe R	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight^[10]	Safe R	November 1, 2010

Results

Indiana's 6th Congressional District Election (2010)
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mike Pence (incumbent)	126,027	66.57%
	Democratic	Barry A. Welsh	56,647	29.92%
	Libertarian	Talmage "T.J." Thompson, Jr.	6,635	3.51%
Total votes			189,309	100.00%
Turnout
	Republican hold

By county

Source^[27]

County	Mike Pence Republican		Barry A. Welsh Democratic		Talmage Thompson Jr. Libertarian		Margin		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Total
Adams	7,096	74.83%	2,140	22.57%	247	2.60%	4,956	52.26%	9,483
Allen	2,577	68.94%	1,059	28.33%	102	2.73%	1,518	40.61%	3,738
Bartholomew	8,476	72.71%	2,886	24.76%	295	2.53%	5,590	47.95%	11,657
Blackford	2,480	63.80%	1,292	33.24%	115	2.96%	1,188	30.56%	3,887
Dearborn	4,264	82.28%	797	15.38%	121	2.34%	3,467	66.90%	5,182
Decatur	5,866	76.45%	1,580	20.59%	227	2.96%	4,286	55.86%	7,673
Delaware	17,437	56.76%	12,439	40.49%	845	2.75%	4,998	16.27%	30,721
Fayette	3,838	61.21%	2,186	34.86%	246	3.92%	1,652	26.35%	6,270
Franklin	5,327	72.44%	1,777	24.16%	250	3.40%	3,550	48.27%	7,354
Henry	8,707	65.19%	3,993	29.90%	656	4.91%	4,714	35.29%	13,356
Jay	3,890	67.59%	1,665	28.93%	200	3.48%	2,225	38.66%	5,755
Johnson	2,566	77.01%	633	19.00%	133	3.99%	1,933	58.01%	3,332
Madison	23,470	60.12%	14,293	36.61%	1,277	3.27%	9,177	23.51%	39,040
Randolph	4,897	70.18%	1,794	25.71%	287	4.11%	3,103	44.47%	6,978
Rush	3,737	75.06%	993	19.94%	249	5.00%	2,744	55.11%	4,979
Shelby	1,138	78.86%	247	17.12%	58	4.02%	891	61.75%	1,443
Union	1,727	70.98%	610	25.07%	96	3.95%	1,117	45.91%	2,433
Wayne	11,133	67.30%	4,451	26.91%	958	5.79%	6,682	40.39%	16,542
Wells	7,401	78.02%	1,812	19.10%	273	2.88%	5,589	58.92%	9,486

District 7

Democrat André Carson has served since 2008. President Obama carried this district with 71% of the vote, considered safe or solid by most sources. He again faced perennial Republican candidate Marvin Scott, who took issue with Carson's Muslim faith during the general election.^[28] However, Carson defeated Scott by a large margin to retain his seat.^[29]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[5]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg^[6]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[7]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
RCP^[8]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics^[9]	Safe D	October 28, 2010
New York Times^[10]	Safe D	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight^[10]	Safe D	November 1, 2010

Results

Indiana's 7th Congressional District Election (2010)
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	André Carson (incumbent)	86,011	58.90%
	Republican	Marvin B. Scott	55,213	37.81%
	Libertarian	Dav Wilson	4,815	3.30%
Total votes			146,039	100.00%
Turnout
	Democratic hold

By county

Source^[27]

County	André Carson Republican		Marvin B. Scott Democratic		Dav Wilson Libertarian		Margin		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Total
Marion	86,011	58.90%	55,213	37.81%	4,815	2.55%	30,798	21.09%	146,039

District 8

This was an open seat as Democratic incumbent Brad Ellsworth ran (unsuccessfully) for the U.S. Senate. The Democratic nominee was lawyer and State Representative Trent Van Haaften. The Republican nominee was Larry Bucshon, president of Ohio Valley HeartCare.

IN - District 8 from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign Contributions from OpenSecrets
2010 Indiana - 8th District from CQ Politics
Race profile at The New York Times

Bucshon received support from the National Republican Congressional Committee and was named a GOP Young Gun.^[30] During the campaign, Bucshon was endorsed by several conservative interest groups and elected officials, including the Indiana Chamber of Commerce Congressional Action Committee, United States Chamber of Commerce, National Right to Life Committee, Indiana Right to Life, Indiana Manufacturers Association, Campaign for Working Families, House Minority Leader John Boehner, U.S. Congressman Mike Pence, and Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels.^[31]

Bucshon received significant campaign contributions from medical groups^[32] Bucshon defeated van Haaften by a margin of 21 points, winning all 18 counties in the district.^[33]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Trent Van Haaften (D)	Larry Bucshon (R)	Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies^[34]	July 21–22, 2010	400	± 4.9%	27%	43%	n/a
OnMessage^[35]	September 13–14, 2010	400	± 4.9%	20%	41%	n/a

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[5]	Likely R (flip)	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg^[6]	Likely R (flip)	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[7]	Likely R (flip)	November 1, 2010
RCP^[8]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics^[9]	Likely R (flip)	October 28, 2010
New York Times^[10]	Safe R (flip)	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight^[10]	Likely R (flip)	November 1, 2010

Results

Indiana's 8th Congressional District Election (2010)
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Larry Bucshon	117,259	57.55%
	Democratic	Trent Van Haaften	76,265	37.43%
	Libertarian	John Cunningham	10,240	5.03%
Total votes			203,764	100.00%
Turnout
	Republican gain from Democratic

By county

Source^[27]

County	Larry Bucshon Republican		Trent Van Haaften Democratic		John Cunningham Libertarian		Margin		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Total
Clay	5,024	61.67%	2,666	32.73%	456	5.60%	2,358	28.95%	8,146
Daviess	5,001	71.37%	1,700	24.26%	306	4.37%	3,301	47.11%	7,007
Fountain	2,139	61.86%	1,051	30.39%	268	7.75%	1,088	31.46%	3,458
Gibson	6,638	58.80%	4,103	36.35%	548	4.85%	2,535	22.46%	11,289
Greene	5,841	60.19%	3,354	34.56%	510	5.26%	2,487	25.63%	9,705
Knox	6,253	56.05%	4,236	37.97%	667	5.98%	2,017	18.08%	11,156
Martin	2,432	60.36%	1,332	33.06%	265	6.58%	1,100	27.30%	4,029
Owen	3,625	60.05%	1,983	32.85%	429	7.11%	1,642	27.20%	6,037
Parke	3,237	60.41%	1,636	30.53%	485	9.05%	1,601	29.88%	5,358
Pike	2,478	52.89%	1,960	41.84%	247	5.27%	518	11.06%	4,685
Posey	5,043	50.86%	4,601	46.40%	271	2.73%	442	4.46%	9,915
Putnam	6,509	65.14%	2,759	27.61%	724	7.25%	3,750	37.53%	9,992
Sullivan	3,654	53.40%	2,746	40.13%	443	6.47%	908	13.27%	6,843
Vanderburgh	28,788	57.58%	19,459	38.92%	1,751	3.50%	9,329	18.66%	49,998
Vermillion	2,269	46.77%	2,242	46.22%	340	7.01%	27	0.56%	4,851
Vigo	13,955	49.31%	12,736	45.00%	1,609	5.69%	1,219	4.31%	28,300
Warren	1,574	62.21%	757	29.92%	199	7.87%	817	32.29%	2,530
Warrick	12,799	62.54%	6,944	33.93%	722	3.53%	5,855	28.61%	20,465

District 9

2010 Indiana's 9th congressional district election

← 2008

2012 →


Nominee	Todd Young	Baron Hill	Greg "No Bull" Knott
Party	Republican	Democratic	Libertarian
Popular vote	118,040	95,353	12,070
Percentage	52.3%	42.3%	5.4%

County results
Young: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70%
Hill: 40–50% 50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Baron Hill
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Todd Young
Republican

Democratic incumbent Baron Hill was challenged by Republican Todd Young (campaign site, PVS, WhoRunsGov), Libertarian Greg Knott (campaign site Archived 2013-07-21 at the Wayback Machine, PVS), and Independent Jerry Lucas (campaign site, PVS). He was defeated, and was defeated by Todd Young.

IN - District 9 from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign Contributions from OpenSecrets
2010 Indiana - 9th District from CQ Politics
Race profile, nytimes.com; accessed November 9, 2016.

Primaries

Five-term Congressman Democrat Baron Hill has won in the ninth district since 1998, except for in 2004, when he lost to Republican Mike Sodrel by 1,425 votes. Hill narrowly regained his seat from Sodrel in 2006 and won another race with Sodrel in 2008 by a wider margin. McCain carried the district with only 50% of the vote. In 2010, Sodrel sought another rematch, but lost to former Marine Captain and Orange County Deputy Prosecutor Todd Young in the Republican primary.^[36]^[37] Independent Jerry Lucas, a nurse and army veteran, has also filed to run.^[38]^[39] Greg Knott entered the race as the Libertarian Party candidate.

Prior to the campaign season, Hill came under increasing public pressure following the passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. At public meetings, Hill had to be escorted by state police for his protection and had heated verbal exchanges with the public which made local news on several occasions and leading Hill to refuse to hold additional public meetings in person.^[40]

General

Hill launched a series of campaign ads beginning in mid August questioning Young's intentions for the future of Social Security and highlighting a comment made by Young referring to it as a "Ponzi scheme".^[41] Local media covering the debate questioned both candidates about their ads; Hill defended his support of healthcare, stimulus, and new regulatory legislation as the correct votes for the future of the country.

Young reconfirmed his position, stating Social Security was indeed a "Ponzi scheme" and needed reform to remain financially viable and called on Hill to explain his financial plans for the nation.^[42]

The last week of August, the Young campaign began running ads on radio and television pointing out Hill's record of supporting spending legislation and calling on fiscal restraint in Congress. On the night of August 30, Young's Bloomington campaign headquarters were vandalized; the air conditioner was stolen, the phone and internet lines into the building were cut, the power disconnected.^[41] The Young campaign requested that Hill participate in seven town hall style debates.^[43] The first scheduled debate will be held October 18 at the Buskirk-Chumley Theater in Bloomington.^[44]

In a post-primary June Public Opinion Strategies poll, Hill had a 41–33 lead over Young.^[45] An August poll conducted by the Young campaign suggested only 37% of voters believed Hill deserved another term.^[42] During the first week of September Real Clear Politics had the race rated as a toss-up.^[39]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Baron Hill (D)	Todd Young (R)	Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies^[46]	May 25–26, 2010	300	±5.7%	41%	34%	n/a
Public Opinion Strategies^[34]	July 26–28, 2010	300	±4.9%	42%	41%	n/a
The Hill/ANGA^[47]	October 16–19, 2010	400	±4.9%	46%	44%	9%
Public Opinion Strategies^[34]	October 24–25, 2010	n/a	±5.7%	37%	49%	n/a

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[5]	Tossup	November 1, 2010
Rothenberg^[6]	Tilt R (flip)	November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[7]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010
RCP^[8]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010
CQ Politics^[9]	Tossup	October 28, 2010
New York Times^[10]	Tossup	November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight^[10]	Lean R (flip)	November 1, 2010

Results

Indiana's 9th Congressional District Election (2010)
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Todd Young	118,040	52.34%
	Democratic	Baron Hill (incumbent)	95,353	42.28%
	Libertarian	Greg "No Bull" Knott	12,070	5.35%
	No party	Jerry R. Lucas	69	0.03%
Total votes			225,532	100.00%
Turnout
	Republican gain from Democratic

By county

Source^[48]

County	Todd Young Republican		Baron Hill Democratic		Greg "No Bull" Knot Libertarian		Jerry R. Lucas Write-in		Margin		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Total
Bartholomew	5,044	61.65%	2,771	33.87%	362	4.42%	5	0.06%	2,273	27.78%	8,182
Brown	3,365	53.63%	2,519	40.15%	390	6.22%	0	0.00%	846	13.48%	6,274
Clark	17,573	53.17%	13,926	42.13%	1,544	4.67%	10	0.03%	3,647	11.03%	33,053
Crawford	1,821	46.61%	1,817	46.51%	269	6.89%	0	0.00%	4	0.10%	3,907
Dearborn	6,254	62.39%	3,327	33.19%	443	4.42%	0	0.00%	2,927	29.20%	10,024
Dubois	7,705	55.00%	5,505	'39.30%	798	5.70%	0	0.00%	2,200	15.71%	14,008
Floyd	14,437	55.67%	10,513	40.54%	981	3.78%	0	0.00%	3,924	15.13%	25,931
Harrison	8,087	54.42%	5,866	39.48%	905	6.09%	2	0.01%	2,221	14.95%	14,860
Jackson	7,617	55.72%	4,980	36.43%	1,061	7.76%	12	0.09%	2,637	19.29%	13,670
Jefferson	5,436	53.63%	3,974	39.21%	721	7.11%	5	0.05%	1,462	14.42%	10,136
Jennings	4,521	53.14%	3,264	38.37%	708	8.32%	14	0.16%	1,257	14.78%	8,507
Monroe	10,090	36.56%	16,455	59.62%	1,051	3.81%	5	0.02%	-6,365	-23.06%	27,601
Ohio	1,317	58.53%	843	37.47%	90	4.00%	0	0.00%	473	21.02%	2,250
Orange	3,414	57.25%	2,190	36.73%	357	5.99%	2	0.03%	1,224	20.53%	5,963
Perry	2,606	36.92%	3,753	56.05%	337	5.03%	0	0.00%	-1,347	-20.12%	6,696
Ripley	5,363	63.71%	2,613	31.04%	433	5.14%	9	0.11%	2,750	32.67%	8,418
Scott	3,209	45.26%	3,383	47.72%	495	6.98%	3	0.04%	-174	-2.45%	7,090
Spencer	3,742	50.20%	3,316	44.49%	395	5.30%	1	0.01%	426	5.72%	7,454
Switzerland	1,547	51.12%	1,303	43.06%	176	5.82%	0	0.00%	244	8.06%	3,026
Washington	4,892	57.68%	3,035	35.78%	554	6.53%	1	0.01%	1,867	22.01%	8,482

References

↑ "Indiana General Election November 2, 2010". In.gov. Retrieved November 12, 2016.
↑ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
↑ "EDITORIAL: We endorse Visclosky, Donnelly". October 31, 2010. Retrieved September 22, 2016.
↑ "U.S. House endorsements | Indianapolis Star | indystar.com". www.indystar.com. Archived from the original on November 4, 2013. Retrieved January 26, 2022.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 1, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Crystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010^[update]
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010^[update]
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 7, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2023.
1 2 3 4 "2010 Indiana Election Report" (PDF). Indianavoters at IN.gov. Indiana Election Division. December 27, 2022. p. 68. Retrieved April 1, 2026.
↑ South Bend Tribune. "Walorski announces plans to run for Congress". South Bend Tribune. Retrieved August 21, 2010.^{[permanent dead link]}
↑ Member Profile (September 29, 1955). "Profile for Rep. Joe Donnelly, Indiana Democrat, North central - South Bend, parts of Elkhart and Kokomo". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on February 25, 2010. Retrieved July 28, 2009.
↑ EPIC-MRA
↑ EPIC-MRA Archived October 8, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
↑ American Action Forum via South Bend Tribune ^{[permanent dead link]}
↑ The Polling Company
↑ Giroux, Greg (April 29, 2010). "Poll: Souder's Small Lead in Indiana - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Archived from the original on May 2, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
↑ Cilizza, Chris; Burke, Aaron (May 18, 2010). "Mark Souder to resign after affair". Washington Post. Archived from the original on September 27, 2012.
↑ Isenstadt, Alex (May 18, 2010). "Stutzman to seek Souder seat". Politico 2010.
↑ de la Bastide, Ken (February 3, 2010). "Hershman throws hat into ring". Pharos-Tribune. Logansport, Indiana. Retrieved February 25, 2019.
↑ Karen L. Haas (June 3, 2011). Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010 (PDF) (Report). Retrieved February 25, 2019.
↑ Member Profile (June 21, 1938). "Profile for Rep. Dan Burton, Indiana Republican, East central - part of Indianapolis and suburbs". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on July 5, 2009. Retrieved July 28, 2009.
↑ "Burton gets a win, but not a majority". Archived from the original on May 8, 2010. Retrieved November 9, 2016.
↑ "2010 Indiana Election Report" (PDF). Indianavoters at IN.gov. Indiana Election Division. December 27, 2022. pp. 68–69. Retrieved April 1, 2026.
↑ "The Ball State Daily News - Rep. Pence, challenger Welsh to meet again in midterm elections". Bsudailynews.com. May 4, 2010. Archived from the original on September 27, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
1 2 3 "2010 Indiana Election Report" (PDF). Indianavoters at IN.gov. Indiana Election Division. December 27, 2022. p. 69. Retrieved April 4, 2026.
↑ Tully, Matthew (September 15, 2010). "Marvin Scott's tactics are ugly, shameless, par for the course". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved January 3, 2011.
↑ King, Mason (December 22, 2010). "Leading Questions: Carson talks Congress, whips, soft rock". Indianapolis Business Journal. Retrieved January 3, 2011.
↑ "Candidates". GOP Young Guns. NRCC. Archived from the original on 21 July 2011. Retrieved 27 November 2011.
↑ "CQ Politics | Ellsworth's Seat Looks to Be a Difficult Hold". Archived from the original on September 18, 2010. Retrieved March 9, 2012.
↑ Isenstadt, Alex (October 6, 2010). "Doc groups helping their own". Politico.com. Retrieved October 7, 2010.
↑ "Election Results, United States Representative". Indiana Secretary of State. November 22, 2010. Retrieved November 30, 2010.
1 2 3 Public Opinion Strategies
↑ OnMessage
↑ "Indiana poised to play major role in battle for Congress". Fwdailynews.com. January 11, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
↑ "Todd Young Bio". Real Clear Politics.com. Archived from the original on October 1, 2010. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
↑ "November 2, 2010 General Election" (PDF). In.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 4, 2010. Retrieved November 12, 2016.
1 2 "Online Guide to Indiana Politics". Politics1. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
↑ "Hill's Town Hall Meeting on Healthcare". Fox41.com. Archived from the original on June 17, 2011. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
1 2 Shella, Jim (August 31, 2010). "Rep. Todd Young's headquarters hit by vandals". WISHTV8. Archived from the original on March 6, 2012. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
1 2 Arnold, Joe (July 12, 2010). "Hill and Young Spar Over Social Security". WHAS 11. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
↑ "Young Hill Campaign debate schedule". Indiana Public Media. Archived from the original on November 6, 2010. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
↑ Salomon, Evie (September 20, 2010). "Questions for the Debate". Indiana Daily Student. Archived from the original on February 29, 2012. Retrieved September 22, 2010.
↑ Howley, Brian (August 27, 2010). "Baron Hill Walks to Save His Career". Pilot News. Archived from the original on January 1, 2011. Retrieved September 1, 2010.
↑ Public Opinion Strategies
↑ The Hill/ANGA
↑ "2010 Indiana Election Report" (PDF). Indianavoters at IN.gov. Indiana Election Division. December 27, 2022. p. 70. Retrieved April 6, 2026.

External links

Election Division at the Indiana Secretary of State
U.S. Congress Candidates for Indiana at Project Vote Smart
Indiana U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in Indiana from OpenSecrets
2010 Indiana General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
House - Indiana from the Cook Political Report
Imagine Election look up congressional districts and candidates by zip code or address

[General_election_results-1] "Indiana General Election November 2, 2010". In.gov. Retrieved November 12, 2016.

[clerk2010-2] Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.

[3] "EDITORIAL: We endorse Visclosky, Donnelly". October 31, 2010. Retrieved September 22, 2016.

[4] "U.S. House endorsements | Indianapolis Star | indystar.com". www.indystar.com. Archived from the original on November 4, 2013. Retrieved January 26, 2022.

[Cook-5] 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "The Cook Political Report – Charts – 2010 House Competitive Races". The Cook Political Report. November 1, 2010. Archived from the original on November 4, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.

[Rothenberg-6] 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Rothenberg Political Report (November 1, 2010). "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 1, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.

[Crystal_Ball-7] 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Crystal Ball, as of November 1, 2010^[update]

[RCP-8] 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RealClearPolitics, as of November 1, 2010^[update]

[CQ-9] 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "2010 House Ratings Chart". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved November 1, 2010.

[NYT-10] 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 "House Race Ratings". nytimes.com. The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 7, 2010. Retrieved October 9, 2023.

[Results68-11] 1 2 3 4 "2010 Indiana Election Report" (PDF). Indianavoters at IN.gov. Indiana Election Division. December 27, 2022. p. 68. Retrieved April 1, 2026.

[12] South Bend Tribune. "Walorski announces plans to run for Congress". South Bend Tribune. Retrieved August 21, 2010.^{[permanent dead link]}

[13] Member Profile (September 29, 1955). "Profile for Rep. Joe Donnelly, Indiana Democrat, North central - South Bend, parts of Elkhart and Kokomo". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on February 25, 2010. Retrieved July 28, 2009.

[14] EPIC-MRA

[15] EPIC-MRA Archived October 8, 2010, at the Wayback Machine

[16] American Action Forum via South Bend Tribune ^{[permanent dead link]}

[17] The Polling Company

[18] Giroux, Greg (April 29, 2010). "Poll: Souder's Small Lead in Indiana - The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Archived from the original on May 2, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.

[19] Cilizza, Chris; Burke, Aaron (May 18, 2010). "Mark Souder to resign after affair". Washington Post. Archived from the original on September 27, 2012.

[politico-20] Isenstadt, Alex (May 18, 2010). "Stutzman to seek Souder seat". Politico 2010.

[21] Bastide, Ken (February 3, 2010). "Hershman throws hat into ring". Pharos-Tribune. Logansport, Indiana. Retrieved February 25, 2019.

[22] Karen L. Haas (June 3, 2011). Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010 (PDF) (Report). Retrieved February 25, 2019.

[23] Member Profile (June 21, 1938). "Profile for Rep. Dan Burton, Indiana Republican, East central - part of Indianapolis and suburbs". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on July 5, 2009. Retrieved July 28, 2009.

[24] "Burton gets a win, but not a majority". Archived from the original on May 8, 2010. Retrieved November 9, 2016.

[25] "2010 Indiana Election Report" (PDF). Indianavoters at IN.gov. Indiana Election Division. December 27, 2022. pp. 68–69. Retrieved April 1, 2026.

[26] "The Ball State Daily News - Rep. Pence, challenger Welsh to meet again in midterm elections". Bsudailynews.com. May 4, 2010. Archived from the original on September 27, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.

[Results69-27] 1 2 3 "2010 Indiana Election Report" (PDF). Indianavoters at IN.gov. Indiana Election Division. December 27, 2022. p. 69. Retrieved April 4, 2026.

[IndyStar-20100915-28] Tully, Matthew (September 15, 2010). "Marvin Scott's tactics are ugly, shameless, par for the course". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved January 3, 2011.

[IBN-20101222-29] King, Mason (December 22, 2010). "Leading Questions: Carson talks Congress, whips, soft rock". Indianapolis Business Journal. Retrieved January 3, 2011.

[30] "Candidates". GOP Young Guns. NRCC. Archived from the original on 21 July 2011. Retrieved 27 November 2011.

[31] "CQ Politics | Ellsworth's Seat Looks to Be a Difficult Hold". Archived from the original on September 18, 2010. Retrieved March 9, 2012.

[32] Isenstadt, Alex (October 6, 2010). "Doc groups helping their own". Politico.com. Retrieved October 7, 2010.

[INSOS10-33] "Election Results, United States Representative". Indiana Secretary of State. November 22, 2010. Retrieved November 30, 2010.

[Public_Opinion_Strategies-34] 1 2 3 Public Opinion Strategies

[35] OnMessage

[36] "Indiana poised to play major role in battle for Congress". Fwdailynews.com. January 11, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.

[37] "Todd Young Bio". Real Clear Politics.com. Archived from the original on October 1, 2010. Retrieved September 1, 2010.

[38] "November 2, 2010 General Election" (PDF). In.gov. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 4, 2010. Retrieved November 12, 2016.

[rcphillyoung-39] 1 2 "Online Guide to Indiana Politics". Politics1. Retrieved August 21, 2010.

[40] "Hill's Town Hall Meeting on Healthcare". Fox41.com. Archived from the original on June 17, 2011. Retrieved September 1, 2010.

[wishtv-41] 1 2 Shella, Jim (August 31, 2010). "Rep. Todd Young's headquarters hit by vandals". WISHTV8. Archived from the original on March 6, 2012. Retrieved September 1, 2010.

[whas11-42] 1 2 Arnold, Joe (July 12, 2010). "Hill and Young Spar Over Social Security". WHAS 11. Retrieved September 1, 2010.

[43] "Young Hill Campaign debate schedule". Indiana Public Media. Archived from the original on November 6, 2010. Retrieved September 1, 2010.

[44] Salomon, Evie (September 20, 2010). "Questions for the Debate". Indiana Daily Student. Archived from the original on February 29, 2012. Retrieved September 22, 2010.

[45] Howley, Brian (August 27, 2010). "Baron Hill Walks to Save His Career". Pilot News. Archived from the original on January 1, 2011. Retrieved September 1, 2010.

[46] Public Opinion Strategies

[47] The Hill/ANGA

[48] "2010 Indiana Election Report" (PDF). Indianavoters at IN.gov. Indiana Election Division. December 27, 2022. p. 70. Retrieved April 6, 2026.

[1]