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My new book "The New Geopolitics of Natural Gas" (, 2017) is now available for pre-order on Amazon: goo.gl/GqGEFJ
Agnia Grigas
Agnia Grigas
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Agnia Grigas
@AgniaGrigas
On #Energy, #Security, #Geopolitical #Economy; corporate growth and risk advisor; author, keynote speaker ; ; PhD
Agnia Grigas’s Tweets
The threat of higher gas prices in Europe as a result of #NordStream2 could sow domestic political discord and put governments on the defensive. Learn more from here 
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Just pulled your “Beyond Crimea” off my ‘to be read’ pile. Absolutely spot on. Wish I read it years ago. Great stuff.
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'If Russia restricts its own natural gas exports to Europe or if these are restricted by Western sanctions, , the American energy industry will benefit.' -
https://thebulwark.com/russian-energy-sanctions-cause-short-term-pain-for-long-term-gain-ukraine-putin/…
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Recently &@JohnBEmo discussed the situation in #Ukraine as Russia amassed its troops near the Ukraine border. Now, Russia has begun its invasion and the world is responding. Join us as Dr. Grigas and Amb. Emerson discuss the latest developments https://bit.ly/3sv0G57
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La autora del libro “Beyond Crimea. The New Russian Empire”, se refiere a Putin: "Estamos viendo un líder envejecido, al final de su período, con poco que perder" https://dfmas.df.cl/df-mas/glocal/agnia-grigas-historiadora-vladimir-putin-putin-esta-pensando-en-su…
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WATCH NOW – Before Germany’s decision to halt Nord Stream 2, & discussed the importance of European energy security and its role in countering malign influences.
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Words matter. Our video on how to avoid the misleading vocabulary about Ukraine and Russian aggression
#Ukraine #StandWithUkraine
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As Russia-Ukraine tensions escalate, so does the urgency to address Europe’s dangerous dependence on Russian gas. & discuss how deliberate energy investment can counteract malign influences.
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Gazprom “has been trying to squeeze the European energy markets,” Agnia Grigas, author of “The New Geopolitics of Natural Gas,” told Yahoo News.
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Join us this Friday for a live discussion: Nord Stream 2: Pipeline to controversy?
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TUES. APRIL 27 - As #NordStream2 nears completion, a new report from assesses the pipeline's true impact. and deliver remarks, joined by , , , & moderator .
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Hard to overstate how much US national security will be strengthened by Bill Burns's nomination to lead CIA. Can't think of a wiser or cooler head--or a better boss at .
PS Well worth re-reading his 2017 assessment of Putin/Russia https://nytimes.com/2017/01/07/opinion/sunday/how-we-fool-ourselves-on-russia.html…
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Canada, Scandinavia, Iceland & Russia would raise x5 their GDP per capita by the end of the century due to climate change:
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The next time you are uncertain about what to call someone, it would be best to let generosity, kindness, and respect determine the choice, particularly to those in the service professions, writes Dr. .
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I, like many in the scholarly community, was disappointed to read last week’s dismissive WSJ op-ed on Dr. Jill Biden’s use of her earned title “Dr.” & the more wide-ranging attack on academic titles and graduate education generally. My latest:
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Finally a Significant shift in Nordic stance
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Newscast Pratyaksha
@NewscastGlobal
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For the first time in 70 years, #Sweden's national legislature has approved a 40% increase in defence spending, a total of $11 bn, to counter #Russia's posturing along its borders. Swedish army strength will also be increased from 55,000 to 90,000.
http://newscast-pratyaksha.com/english/swedens-defense-spending-rises-by-40-to-counter-russias-aggression/…
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Olympic Response to Doping Scandal
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The New York Times
@nytimes
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Breaking News: Russia’s four-year doping ban from global sports was cut in half by a Swiss court, but its teams will still miss the next two Olympics. https://nyti.ms/34mKDtx
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Bipartisan opposition to Nord Stream 2 persists...
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Dr. Benjamin L. Schmitt
@BLSchmitt
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BREAKING: US Senate passes 2021 NDAA by overwhelming, bipartisan, veto-proof majority. Includes mandatory targeted sanctions aimed at stopping the Kremlin’s #NordStream2 pipeline for good. Set to become law this month. 
#NotJustACommercialDeal
https://washingtonpost.com/national-security/senate-vote-defense-bill-trump/2020/12/11/c21e4160-3bbe-11eb-9276-ae0ca72729be_story.html…
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Russian Hackers Broke Into Federal Agencies, U.S. Officials Suspect
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D.C.'s newest private museum will be dedicated to the victims of communism https://bizjournals.com/washington/news/2020/12/07/victims-of-communism-museum-coming-to-d-c-in-2021.html?fbclid=IwAR0Rpgi94TWJPc5wIj11cQjlhsyAPuCKCwo2t6Toxq-oO7F2QryRliahjiI… via
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Moscow Considering Russian Analog of Monroe Doctrine for Post-Soviet Space & new Ideology, Apukhtin Says: http://windowoneurasia2.blogspot.com/2020/12/moscow-considering-russian-analog-of.html…
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Yet we cannot stop there. We need more help from the United States, even in this complex transitional period. I appeal to the U.S. Congress to swiftly pass the Belarus Democracy, Human Rights, and Sovereignty Act of 2020.
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New US special operations site in Riga: The assets are designed to allow special operations forces to move rapidly in and out of the area https://stripes.com/news/europe/new-us-special-operations-site-activated-in-heart-of-the-baltics-1.654032?fbclid=IwAR2_7nG96xYqdpLmKUQRzF-PGCvOhkXu0Nu1GwvyPGglH-4BmEic8EjNlJM#.X8plBok-Osc.twitter…
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U.S. Cyberforce Was Deployed to Estonia to Hunt for Russian Hackers
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Another missed chance for #Bloomberg to clarify that #NordStream2 pipelaying restart announcement *only* includes a short 2.6km run at shallow depth *not* targeted by sanctions; no plan for finishing the 160km deep water section yet announced 
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“Overproduction of young graduates with advanced degrees” and not enough prestigious jobs leads to populism & political instability suggest scholars
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FAST THINKING: How Tony Blinken sees America https://atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/fastthinking/how-tony-blinken-sees-america-biden-secretary-of-state/… via
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Lithuania's proposed cabinet of Ministers demonstrating a generational & cultural shift. The vast majority of proposed Ministers are in their 30s and half are women.
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My analysis from 2 yrs ago Moldova...Today with Pres. Sandu the country can finally emerge from Europe's grey zone https://wp.me/p4ja0Z-KSa via
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SoCalGas should be fined $255 million for fighting climate action, watchdog says
Belarus #WomenRisingForDemocracy rock!
Thanks Finland former president , Lithuania PM , Latvia MEP , Lithuania politician @Ausrine0, Romania MEP & US/Lithuania Dr for standing with & #WithBelarus!
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Defend Democracy
@DefendDemocracy
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Brave Belarus women & men are going out to march for freedom again & again, week after week. 100 days!
We stand with you.
We stand with freedom.
We stand with democracy.
#WomenRisingForDemocracy
RIP #RamanBandarenka
#100DaysOfViolence 
#ЖывеБеларусь 
#WithBelarus
#ЖывеБеларусь
#WithBelarus The media could not be played.
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I've had the pleasure of meeting Ms. Sandu a few years ago in Moldova and I look forward to the changes she will bring as Moldova’s president
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Together with European women leaders, I stand with the women of Belarus.
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Defend Democracy
@DefendDemocracy
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Brave Belarus women & men are going out to march for freedom again & again, week after week. 100 days!
We stand with you.
We stand with freedom.
We stand with democracy.
#WomenRisingForDemocracy
RIP #RamanBandarenka
#100DaysOfViolence
#ЖывеБеларусь
#WithBelarus
#ЖывеБеларусь
#WithBelarus The media could not be played.
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Belarus will be a test case for the new administration
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Agnia Grigas
@AgniaGrigas
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My latest: How America should carry the torch of freedom and democracy especially in this key transitional time for Belarus @AtlanticCouncil @ACEurasia https://nationalinterest.org/feature/how-america-can-save-belarus-%E2%80%98europe%E2%80%99s-last-dictator%E2%80%99-167198…
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In a historic first for Lithuania, three parties all led by women will form the government. They will be well positioned to lead Lithuania through the pandemic, domestic reforms, & foreign policy with neighboring Belarus. https://atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/lithuanias-new-government-women-led-coalition-wins-confidence-in-difficult-times/… via
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"Europe will have to work closely with the United States, which is still the global leader in innovation, to ensure that democracies can keep a competitive edge over China’s growing digital authoritarianism." 
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Nord Stream 2: U.S. Targets Insurers for Sanctions on Russia-Germany Gas Pipe - Bloomberg https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-11-11/nord-stream-2-sanctions-to-be-included-in-u-s-defense-bill…
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But do not be hopeful for a democratic Russia, whenever it happens. Putin’s inner circle would preserve the Putin system even without Putin.
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Paul Gregory
@PaulR_Gregory
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Even RT interprets the immunity amendment as preparation for a change in Russian leadership. Any transition will be defined by the Yeltsin precedent. It will be a piece of cake to transfer the Putin system. No hope for democracy. https://bit.ly/3lhnBux
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The Husband-and-Wife Team Behind the Leading Vaccine to Solve Covid-19 https://nytimes.com/2020/11/10/business/biontech-covid-vaccine.html?smid=tw-share…
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Pfizer’s Early Data Shows Vaccine Is More Than 90% Effective https://nytimes.com/2020/11/09/health/covid-vaccine-pfizer.html?smid=tw-share…
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1. Geography - Lithuania shares a close border with Belarus. What happens in Belarus impacts Lithuania.
2. Shared history - dates back to the Grand Duchy of Lithuania.
3. Shared commitment to democracy - encoded into Lithuania's basic values/principles.
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Now chatting with (of ) on #Lithuania's role in supporting the Belarus fight for democracy and the feminist movement underway...
But really, why should we care? Here are Agnia's three points:
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Biden's FP roadmap from April 2019: Why America Must Lead Again
https://foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-01-23/why-america-must-lead-again?utm_medium=social… via
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Lukashenka Says Belarus To Become 'Nuclear Power' At Power Plant Opening
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US election result: What Biden's victory means for rest of world
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In a historic first for Lithuania, three parties all led by women will form the government. They will be well positioned to lead Lithuania through the pandemic, domestic reforms, & foreign policy with neighboring Belarus. https://atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/lithuanias-new-government-women-led-coalition-wins-confidence-in-difficult-times/… via
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Thomas Grennes argues that the Baltics should try to attract the expats leaving Hong Kong to solve their declining population problem & contribute to transforming the Baltics into the “Amber Tigers”. https://sites.utu.fi/bre/amber-tigers-and-the-baltic-population-problem/…
Lithuania’s new government: a center-right coalition of three parties all led by women https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-25/women-lead-opposition-to-victory-in-lithuanian-general-elections… via
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The face of the new Lithuanian government
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BREAKING: Today the US issued broader guidance for existing bipartisan Congressional sanctions aimed at stopping Kremlin’s #NordStream2. Includes designations for firms involved in providing funding/services for vessels used to deploy pipeline.
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Conservative Homeland Union wins in Lithuanian elections; with Ms. Simonyte poised to become PM
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"Whether this will be Putin's banner year, or failure year, may well depend on how things turn out in Belarus," Agnia Grigas
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UK and Ukraine sign historic post-Brexit free trade deal https://atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/uk-and-ukraine-sign-historic-post-brexit-free-trade-deal/… via
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Video oped: I Was a Stay-at-Home Mom. Now I’m Leading a Revolution. https://nytimes.com/2020/09/23/opinion/belarus-tikhanovskaya-opposition-leader.html?smid=tw-share…
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"Whether this will be Putin's banner year, or failure year, may well depend on how things turn out in Belarus," Agnia Grigas
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As a group acting & former diplomats & experts who have dedicated our careers to supporting Transatlantic security. We are calling on the EC, EU, US, Canada, Norway, the UK, Ukraine, Georgia, and Moldova to stop the Kremlin-backed Nord Stream 2 pipeline. https://newsweek.com/nordstream-two-stop-transtlantic-russia-1532703…
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Merkel's FP Spokesperson Hardt: “Nord Stream 2 was a mistake” & “failure in German foreign policy” that “severely shook our credibility.” Germany “lost enormous reputation in European partner countries like Poland or the Baltic states,”
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Remembering the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact between the Soviets and the Nazis and its implications...
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"The situation in Belarus is not a geopolitical struggle. It's a domestic matter, concerning...a regime that has lost legitimacy...Western diplomacy can help the Belarusian people arrive at a democratic outcome, but only if it is conducted wisely." -Bildt https://prosyn.org/GKY5NNY
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My latest interview on Belarus in Polish:
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Belarus Opposition Leader To Meet Leading U.S. Diplomat In Lithuania
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Trump’s administration should not shed too easily America’s role as the global torch-carrier of freedom. Belarus will be another test case for America. People will look to see whether US still supports the spread of freedom and democracy across the world.
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"The main movers are undoubtedly citizens on the streets who are tired of authoritarian rule but they should be able to count on support and solidarity from the free world. In the 21st century even two dictatorships in Europe are two too many."
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Whether any transition is peaceful and improves governance may depend in part on the West. If allowed to help, the West might facilitate dialogue and a stable power transfer while defusing geopolitical risks. https://rand.org/blog/2020/08/the-wests-role-in-belarus.html… via
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BBC News - Alexei Navalny: 'Poisoned' Russian opposition leader in a coma https://bbc.com/news/world-europe-53844958…
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Belarusians are embarking on the most difficult task of their generation to transform an authoritarian state-capitalism system into a democratic market economy in an increasingly ambivalent and isolationist world .
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My latest: How America should carry the torch of freedom and democracy especially in this key transitional time for Belarus
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Workers at Belarus’ MAZ truck factory - perhaps it’s most famous export - chant “leave” and call for new elections. This is President Lukashenko’s base. The ground must not feel so firm below his feet anymore. #Belarus
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Dictator with bloody hands #LukashenkoLeaveNow . You made your destiny- no future on Belorussian soil
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Schändlich! The German called Gerhard Schröder to testify at its hearing on #NordStream2-failing to mention that he is on the Nord Stream and Rosneft boards, and Putin’s foremost malign policy lobbyist in Europe
#Schröderization #EliteCapture
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Belarus protests: more than 6,000 arrested, says interior ministry https://theguardian.com/world/2020/aug/12/belarus-protesters-and-police-clash-for-third-night-as-eu-threatens-sanctions…
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I have the great honor to announce that I’ve picked — a fearless fighter for the little guy, and one of the country’s finest public servants — as my running mate.
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The world’s biggest case of depopulation not related to war: Eastern Europe. Latvia, Moldova, Ukraine, Croatia, Lithuania, Romania, Serbia, Poland and Hungary are among the world’s nations experiencing the biggest losses.
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Post-American world is unlikely to be peaceful. Zero-sum games, weakening institutions, cynical power grabs: more of the world will look like Libya & Syria.
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“Mr. Jones” Remembers When Stalin Weaponized Famine https://newyorker.com/magazine/2020/06/29/mr-jones-remembers-when-stalin-weaponized-famine?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=onsite-share&utm_brand=the-new-yorker&utm_social-type=earned… via
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Opinion | What Lithuania can teach us about grappling with Confederate statues https://washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/06/18/what-lithuania-can-teach-us-about-grappling-with-confederate-statues/…
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Watch this morning’s hearing about the impacts of the #COVID19 pandemic on the #energy industry → https://bit.ly/3e6WDC9
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While the future is uncertain, Alaskans know how to innovate, and we know how to do energy. From oil, to renewables, efficiency, & beyond, we understand the important role of energy in modern day life, and it will be key as our economy recovers.
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The world in 1914... or Japanese cartoon from that era.
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A New York Democrat who aligned with state Republicans is in strong position to win a Democratic House primary, according to a new poll. https://huffpost.com/entry/new-york-democrat-david-carlucci-idc-house-primary_n_5eda7953c5b619004bd78e52?ncid=engmodushpmg00000004… # via
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“The overextension of #Rosneft runs parallel the to overextension of the Kremlin’s foreign policy. They are both overextended in a similar fashion and they both keep pushing the envelope.”
youtube.com
New challenges and dwindling returns for Russia’s national champions
Gazprom’s and Rosneft’s enormous size and outsized roles in the domestic and global economies mean the Kremlin grants them priority attention. At the height ...
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Russia sends more troops West, challenging U.S.-NATO presence near borders
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Great panel. I argued that Gazprom & Rosneft's failings & vulnerabilities are only more acute in new conditions of the global energy markets. However, these national champions will continue pursuing Kremlin's geopolitical aims playing their weak hand of cards sufficiently well.
Quote Tweet
Eurasia Center
@ACEurasia
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TODAY 10 AM - As Rosneft suffers from OPEC oil cuts and Gazprom faces more US sanctions on Nord Stream 2, @AgniaGrigas @anders_aslund Steven Fisher @ACGlobalEnergy's Amb. Morningstar and @CSIS's Edward Chow discuss what is next for Russia's energy giants. https://bit.ly/3gNwhac
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Gazprom and Rosneft: New challenges and dwindling returns for Russia’s national champions.
JUN 9, 10 AM EDT - 
's Amb. Morningstar and 's Edward Chow discuss and outsized roles in the domestic and global economies and why the Kremlin grants them priority attention.
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Join us this Friday for a virtual launch of a new report on Russian energy sector. https://atlanticcouncil.org/event/russia-national-champions-report-launch/…
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Hong Kong is the front line of a new cold war. If it burns, the world gets burned too https://latimes.com/opinion/story/2020-05-28/op-ed-if-hong-kong-burns-the-world-gets-burned-too…
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Deepfakes Are Going To Wreak Havoc On Society. We Are Not Prepared. via https://forbes.com/sites/robtoews/2020/05/25/deepfakes-are-going-to-wreak-havoc-on-society-we-are-not-prepared/…
"A failure to obtain a derogation from the , even if that is its final decision, is likely to prove far from fatal to #NordStream2," to
#NS2
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A historic first: Belarus to receive American oil shipment! Russia continues to loose its energy monopoly in its neighborhood. https://state.gov/first-shipment-of-u-s-oil-to-belarus/…
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