The US Capitol building
The Congressional Budget Office estimated the last shutdown reduced economic output by $11bn, including $3bn that the US economy never regained © FT montage/Getty Images
Lauren Fedor and Claire Jones in Washington
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The US government has shut down for the first time in nearly seven years, after Republicans and Democrats failed to agree a deal to keep the federal government funded.
A final round of voting in the US Senate on Tuesday failed to pass proposal to keep the government funded beyond midnight.
The shutdown will hit public services and lead to hundreds of thousands of federal workers being furloughed. It will also delay the release of vital data on the US economy.
Here is what you need to know.
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Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer explains why the US government is on the verge of a shutdown © Reuters

What led to the US government shut down?

Each year, Congress must pass spending bills by October 1, the start of the fiscal year, in order to fund government departments and federal agencies.
Because no appropriations bills had been passed for the new fiscal year that began on Wednesday, lawmakers had tried to pass a stop-gap measure to keep the government running.
The White House and Republican lawmakers led the charge for what they called a “clean” continuing resolution, or CR, which would have kept federal funding at current levels until November 21.
But Democratic lawmakers resisted signing on to the Republican plans, arguing that any deal should also include a permanent extension of health insurance subsidies, which are set to expire at the end of the year.
“The Democrats want to shut it down,” Trump said in the Oval Office on Tuesday afternoon.
The US president met Republican Senate majority leader John Thune, Republican Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, Democratic Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer and his House counterpart Hakeem Jeffries on Monday in an eleventh-hour attempt to broker an agreement.
But the lawmakers emerged from the White House meeting no closer to a deal, with each side blaming the other for the impasse.

What happens now that the government has shut down?

In a shutdown, the federal government stops all “non-essential” functions. Historically, that has led to the furloughing of hundreds of thousands of federal workers and the closure of many government facilities, including national parks.
In the last government shutdown — from December 2018 to January 2019, during Trump’s first administration — about 800,000 government employees were sent home.
The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office on Tuesday expected that 750,000 workers would be furloughed this time, at a cost to the government of about $400mn per day in back pay.
Employees whose work is deemed “essential” are required to report to work, often without pay, until a shutdown ends. Essential government workers include active-duty military members and federal law enforcement officers.
But the White House — which has taken major steps towards reducing the size and scope of the federal government with the so-called Department of Government Efficiency — has suggested this shutdown could be different. It has indicated federal departments and agencies should consider firing employees, rather than temporarily furloughing them.
In a memo circulated last week, the Office of Management and Budget told federal agencies to “use this opportunity to consider reduction in force”, or permanent lay-offs.
Trump on Tuesday told reporters: “When you shut it down, you have to do lay-offs, so we’d be laying off a lot of people that are going to be very affected.”

How will the shutdown affect the US economy?

The CBO estimated the last shutdown, which lasted five weeks — the longest in US history — reduced economic output by $11bn, including $3bn that the US economy never regained.
“The effects of a government shutdown on business activity are uncertain, and their magnitude would depend on the duration of a shutdown and on decisions made by the administration,” the CBO said on Tuesday.
It added that it expected that if the shutdown lasted several weeks “some private-sector entities would never recover all of the income they lost as a result of the suspension of federal activity.”
Economists have warned that the OMB’s suggestion to use the shutdown to fire more federal workers could pose a threat to the weakening US labour market.
While this could be economically disruptive, Andrew Hollenhorst, economist at Citi, cautioned it was “unclear how many workers would be permanently laid off”.
A shutdown will also mean the temporary closure of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, delaying the release of the September jobs report — crucial economic data that is set for release on Friday. The report includes the latest figure for non-farm payrolls as well as the unemployment rate.
The jobs report is expected to influence policymakers at the US Federal Reserve ahead of their October meeting. Many investors were anticipating another quarter-point cut to the central bank’s benchmark federal funds target range.
While the jobs report matters for the Fed, officials have alternative sources — such as private sector data and information collated from the 12 regional central banks — to assess the health of the US labour market.
Additional reporting by Kate Duguid in New York
Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2025. All rights reserved.

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750k government workers no longer doing their work and the main effect, in my reading of the article, is that some economic data will not be released?
Beautifully done, democrats. All you have to do is to learn how to live within your means. Somehow the rest of the world does it.
What happens if the US government shuts down? Nothing!
Excellent! Our military won’t get paid and we’ll have to stop shooting people around the world. Oh sorry I forgot, we’ll still manage to send a chunk of our budget to Israel for killing purposes. My bad.
What happens if the US government shuts down? The democrats get even more unpopular
Wish they would just shut down the entire country permanently.
Reset time
Totally normal country.
The thought of unemployed bureaucrats brings tears to my eyes. I guess they'll have to live off of taxes collected from the private sector and redustributed to people who aren't working. Wait, that sounds familiar...
interesting that the last shutdown was under the same president.... hmmmm
More chaos - More distractions!
How can a country whose legislators cannot even agree on funding its government have falling yield on 10Y debt? France is the next most dysfunctional state after the US at the moment. Can we imagine what would happen if Macron announced its government was shutting down? I can't believe money will continue to pour into the US for much longer.
How can a country whose legislators cannot even agree on funding its government have falling yield on 10Y debt?
Obviously you should update your priors.

Clearly the answer is that the market thinks that it would be better to shut down the government, fire a large amount of bloat, and cut spending than to continue funding the government at current levels (which still include all the excess "temporary" COVID spending increases).
And you think that's going to happen? Seriously? Do you think there's any intention of cutting the deficit by the odd trillion or so per year? It is not rational to ask for so little interest for the debt of a country with fiscal and political problems of these dimensions. Nor is it rational to keep investing in tech companies, witness Tesla, trading on 250 times earnings. We must therefore conclude that the market is prey to 'irrational exuberance'.
What an absolute shjtshow the US is under Trump. He doesn't seem to love his country very much after all.
During the shut down I expect Trump will do a bunch of shady things.
It also seems likely that violence will increase, and there may even be several attacks on law makers.
Yawn!
The "United" States are becoming farcically dysfunctional. So the shutdown would mean a surge in unemployment - yet the BLS that reports on the unemployment would also be shut down, so we won't know about it.

The orange Emperor Nero continues to deconstruct the US as a functional power.
The more people the government sector lays off, the higher the probability of large rate cuts!
What happens to the unfortunate furloughed employees who are working without pay? How do they pay their bills?
They either quit or float the cash. It’s terrible.
Shoe factories are opening now thanks to the efforts of MAGA (not sure about battery factories)!
Proof again that the American federal political machine is grossly incompetent and Washington a quagmire….. Confirmation that the Orange Manchild is a charlatan….
Buy Bitcoin.

The Fiat Ponzi is reaching the end of the road…
You mean Bye Bitcoin. Look at the price development of Bitcoin vs gold. Bitcoin is as much digital gold as an NFT is digital art. It is a risky asset - not a hedge.
As they say in China 🇨🇳 interesting times
Both parties are incentivized for a shut down. Trump can use it as an excuse to fire employees based on their political views and blame Democrats on the economic impact they know is coming. Democrats are weak and backed into a corner — they only have this until the midterms.

Do we buy the dip or are we about to enter real bear territory?
This must be an easy article to write. Just dust off the one from last year each time.
Frequent US government shutdowns are predictably reoccuring as US mass shootings. The articles and the causes remain the same yet nothing is done about it...
Yes, the government shuts down every time Trump is elected apparently.

Other than that the last shut down was 2013, because Biden was able to get budgets etc done . . .
With the debt crisis, a US shutdown is probably the best thing that could happen. Only a government willing to do what is necessary to cut costs or at least stem the debt growth is going to navigate these waters. Workforce reduction and reduction of government subsidies is going to be the main driver of this. You can't keep increasing spending and only necessary spending should be funded.
Depends what you deem 'necessary' e.g., is support for veterans necessary? Spending is also one side of the equation i.e., revenues. Whilst people aren't keen on tax rises, at the very least, is the tax system efficient and everyone pays their legal share? Trump is the first President not to public disclose his taxes, does that bother you?
IRS enforcement has also been gutted. Collection efficiency is well over par — collection should be ramped until $1 of enforcement yields only $1 of revenue but these people don’t actually care about fair.
No.
In reality, shutdowns always end up costing More, and the cutting Republicans do always seems to increase debts and deficits.
If you wanted a lower debt, or deficit, then you should have elected a Clinton not a Trump.
Clinton didn't really do anything. He rode the wave of high taxes and sold off massive US assets to generate that one time surplus. He also got lucky that he happened to be in office during the deployment and growth of the internet.
Clinton locked Congress in a room until they came to a budget agreement, and closed multiple military bases.
Not everyone here has a short memory.
(Edited)
US can cut cost swiftly by reducing their hegemonic behaviour around the world.
It happens way to regularly, it's no longer an event.

They will still pay the interests of their debts (to Japan and the UK mainly), only thing changes is that there will be no governments services, like sanitations etc
Does the federal government offer sanitation services to citizens?
Sanitation is needed in all sorts of places.
In the National Parks, yes. I am more concerned about weather reporting, space operations, passport issuance, economic statistics, and tax enforcement over the relatively minimal sanitation services the USG supplies.
Yes, draining the swamp
Does Trump need a shutdown as an excuse to fire federal workers?
Money printing?